DEN

Denver Nuggets

0-1
Sim Win / Proj
80% (88.8)
7:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Nuggets -10.7 · Proj Total: 167.0
Sim Win / Proj
20% (78.2)

Phoenix Suns

0-1
PHX

Game Bets & Ledger (DEN @ PHX)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Denver Nuggets hold a 80% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Nuggets 88.8, Suns 78.2 (projected combined total of 167.0 points and an implied fair spread of Nuggets -10.7). Visiting Denver Nuggets (0-1, 84.0 PPG, 96.0 OPPG, -12.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Nikola Jokic (27.5 PPG, 12.8 RPG, 10.6 APG), while host Phoenix Suns (0-1, 83.0 PPG, 124.0 OPPG, -41.0 net diff) counters with Devin Booker (26.0 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 6.0 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-10-30 (7:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
DEN Denver Nuggets #9 West 0-1 .000 1.5 80%88.8 84.0 96.0 -12.0 0-1 (Road) 0-1 L1
PHX Phoenix Suns #15 West 0-1 .000 1.5 20%78.2 83.0 124.0 -41.0 0-0 (Home) 0-1 L1

DEN Denver Nuggets Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Nikola JokicNikola Jokic
 C STARTER 66 34.8 27.5 12.8 10.6 56.4% 37.4%
Jamal MurrayJamal Murray
 G STARTER 76 35.4 25.1 4.5 7.1 48.1% 43.4%
Aaron GordonAaron Gordon
 F STARTER 37 27.9 16.3 5.8 2.6 50.1% 39.8%
Peyton WatsonPeyton Watson
 G STARTER 54 29.6 14.6 4.9 2.1 49.1% 41.1%
Tim Hardaway Jr.Tim Hardaway Jr.
 G ROTATION 80 26.6 13.5 2.6 1.4 44.7% 40.7%
DeMar DeRozanDeMar DeRozan
 G ROTATION 1 28.0 13.0 2.0 0.0 55.6% 0.0%
Cameron JohnsonCameron Johnson
 F STARTER 55 30.2 12.1 3.8 2.4 48.1% 43.2%
Christian BraunChristian Braun
 G STARTER 45 31.8 11.8 4.8 2.7 51.4% 29.5%

PHX Phoenix Suns Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Devin BookerDevin Booker
 G STARTER 65 33.5 26.0 3.9 6.0 45.7% 33.0%
Dillon BrooksDillon Brooks
 F STARTER 57 30.3 20.0 3.6 1.7 43.4% 34.5%
Jalen GreenJalen Green
 G STARTER 33 25.9 17.5 3.6 2.8 42.0% 31.3%
Grayson AllenGrayson Allen
 G STARTER 51 28.8 16.5 3.0 3.8 40.3% 34.9%
Collin GillespieCollin Gillespie
 G STARTER 81 28.4 12.5 4.0 4.6 41.4% 39.6%
Mark WilliamsMark Williams
 C STARTER 60 23.6 11.7 8.0 1.0 64.4% 100.0%
Royce O'NealeRoyce O'Neale
 F STARTER 78 28.4 9.8 4.8 2.7 42.1% 40.8%
Jordan GoodwinJordan Goodwin
 G ROTATION 71 22.5 8.6 4.9 2.1 41.1% 37.0%