Washington Wizards
2-3Atlanta Hawks
3-3Game Bets & Ledger (WSH @ ATL)
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Team Standings & Season Profile
Full NBA Standings →Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Atlanta Hawks hold a 65% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Wizards 113.6, Hawks 119.2 (projected combined total of 232.8 points and an implied fair spread of Hawks -5.5). Visiting Washington Wizards (2-3, 113.6 PPG, 115.8 OPPG, -2.2 net diff) enters this matchup led by Anthony Davis (21.8 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 2.2 APG), while host Atlanta Hawks (3-3, 119.2 PPG, 114.5 OPPG, +4.7 net diff) counters with Jalen Johnson (22.3 PPG, 10.2 RPG, 7.9 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-06 (4:00 PM PT).
| Team | Conf Rank | Record | Win% | GB | Win Prob | Proj Score | PPG | OPPG | Net Diff | Home / Road | L10 | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH Washington Wizards | #10 East | 2-3 | .400 | 2.0 | 35% | 113.6 | 113.6 | 115.8 | -2.2 | 1-2 (Road) | 2-3 | L2 |
| ATL Atlanta Hawks | #7 East | 3-3 | .500 | 1.5 | 65% | 119.2 | 119.2 | 114.5 | +4.7 | 1-2 (Home) | 3-3 | W1 |
WSH Washington Wizards Projected Rotation & Season Averages
| Player | POS | ROLE | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | STARTER | 5 | 33.4 | 21.8 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 44.1% | 35.3% | |
| F | STARTER | 1 | 27.0 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 66.7% | 33.3% | |
| G | STARTER | 35 | 30.9 | 18.8 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 45.4% | 39.3% | |
| G | STARTER | 10 | 28.3 | 17.9 | 3.1 | 8.3 | 46.1% | 32.8% | |
| C | STARTER | 53 | 27.0 | 15.8 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 48.6% | 32.5% | |
| F | STARTER | 53 | 29.2 | 14.9 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 44.1% | 36.7% | |
| G | ROTATION | 23 | 20.5 | 12.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 44.3% | 42.0% | |
| G | STARTER | 64 | 23.9 | 12.2 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 42.2% | 35.7% |
ATL Atlanta Hawks Projected Rotation & Season Averages
| Player | POS | ROLE | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | STARTER | 78 | 35.1 | 22.3 | 10.2 | 7.9 | 48.3% | 34.4% | |
| G | STARTER | 84 | 33.1 | 20.8 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 45.8% | 40.0% | |
| G | STARTER | 10 | 27.9 | 19.3 | 1.5 | 8.9 | 41.5% | 30.5% | |
| G | STARTER | 47 | 28.4 | 18.1 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 46.0% | 36.0% | |
| C | STARTER | 17 | 24.3 | 17.1 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 45.7% | 36.0% | |
| G | ROTATION | 6 | 26.3 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 51.5% | 46.2% | |
| F | STARTER | 80 | 30.9 | 15.0 | 7.5 | 3.1 | 48.0% | 37.2% | |
| F | ROTATION | 16 | 22.1 | 12.2 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 47.6% | 34.6% |
