Boston Celtics
3-1Charlotte Hornets
3-2Game Bets & Ledger (BOS @ CHA)
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Team Standings & Season Profile
Full NBA Standings →Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Boston Celtics hold a 62% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Celtics 112.6, Hornets 108.2 (projected combined total of 220.8 points and an implied fair spread of Celtics -4.4). Visiting Boston Celtics (3-1, 119.8 PPG, 111.8 OPPG, +8.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Jaylen Brown (28.7 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 5.1 APG), while host Charlotte Hornets (3-2, 101.0 PPG, 108.2 OPPG, -7.2 net diff) counters with Brandon Miller (20.6 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 3.2 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-06 (4:00 PM PT).
| Team | Conf Rank | Record | Win% | GB | Win Prob | Proj Score | PPG | OPPG | Net Diff | Home / Road | L10 | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS Boston Celtics | #4 East | 3-1 | .750 | 0.5 | 62% | 112.6 | 119.8 | 111.8 | +8.0 | 0-1 (Road) | 3-1 | W3 |
| CHA Charlotte Hornets | #6 East | 3-2 | .600 | 1.0 | 38% | 108.2 | 101.0 | 108.2 | -7.2 | 2-1 (Home) | 3-2 | L1 |
BOS Boston Celtics Projected Rotation & Season Averages
| Player | POS | ROLE | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | STARTER | 71 | 34.4 | 28.7 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 47.7% | 34.7% | |
| F | STARTER | 20 | 33.4 | 23.0 | 9.2 | 5.8 | 41.6% | 31.4% | |
| F | STARTER | 4 | 31.5 | 22.2 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 47.0% | 43.8% | |
| G | STARTER | 83 | 32.1 | 16.8 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 46.4% | 38.1% | |
| G | STARTER | 81 | 33.9 | 16.3 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 39.6% | 32.6% | |
| G | ROTATION | 49 | 24.5 | 14.2 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 44.0% | 39.5% | |
| C | STARTER | 80 | 25.1 | 10.1 | 8.2 | 1.6 | 65.1% | 22.2% | |
| C | ROTATION | 16 | 21.1 | 9.7 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 43.9% | 34.0% |
CHA Charlotte Hornets Projected Rotation & Season Averages
| Player | POS | ROLE | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | STARTER | 70 | 30.5 | 20.6 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 43.0% | 37.2% | |
| G | STARTER | 72 | 28.0 | 20.1 | 4.8 | 7.1 | 40.7% | 36.8% | |
| G | STARTER | 81 | 31.5 | 18.5 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 47.5% | 42.5% | |
| F | STARTER | 77 | 31.0 | 17.1 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 46.0% | 33.3% | |
| C | STARTER | 5 | 27.4 | 17.0 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 43.0% | 42.9% | |
| G | ROTATION | 21 | 19.3 | 15.6 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 46.1% | 39.1% | |
| G | ROTATION | 5 | 28.2 | 15.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 44.4% | 45.7% | |
| G | ROTATION | 42 | 22.3 | 14.2 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 48.8% | 39.3% |