BOS

Boston Celtics

3-1
Sim Win / Proj
62% (112.6)
4:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Celtics -4.4 · Proj Total: 220.8
Sim Win / Proj
38% (108.2)

Charlotte Hornets

3-2
CHA

Game Bets & Ledger (BOS @ CHA)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Boston Celtics hold a 62% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Celtics 112.6, Hornets 108.2 (projected combined total of 220.8 points and an implied fair spread of Celtics -4.4). Visiting Boston Celtics (3-1, 119.8 PPG, 111.8 OPPG, +8.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Jaylen Brown (28.7 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 5.1 APG), while host Charlotte Hornets (3-2, 101.0 PPG, 108.2 OPPG, -7.2 net diff) counters with Brandon Miller (20.6 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 3.2 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-06 (4:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
BOS Boston Celtics #4 East 3-1 .750 0.5 62%112.6 119.8 111.8 +8.0 0-1 (Road) 3-1 W3
CHA Charlotte Hornets #6 East 3-2 .600 1.0 38%108.2 101.0 108.2 -7.2 2-1 (Home) 3-2 L1

BOS Boston Celtics Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
G STARTER 71 34.4 28.7 6.9 5.1 47.7% 34.7%
F STARTER 20 33.4 23.0 9.2 5.8 41.6% 31.4%
F STARTER 4 31.5 22.2 6.0 3.5 47.0% 43.8%
G STARTER 83 32.1 16.8 3.9 5.1 46.4% 38.1%
G STARTER 81 33.9 16.3 4.4 5.4 39.6% 32.6%
G ROTATION 49 24.5 14.2 2.4 2.4 44.0% 39.5%
C STARTER 80 25.1 10.1 8.2 1.6 65.1% 22.2%
C ROTATION 16 21.1 9.7 6.6 2.0 43.9% 34.0%

CHA Charlotte Hornets Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
F STARTER 70 30.5 20.6 5.0 3.2 43.0% 37.2%
G STARTER 72 28.0 20.1 4.8 7.1 40.7% 36.8%
G STARTER 81 31.5 18.5 5.3 3.4 47.5% 42.5%
F STARTER 77 31.0 17.1 5.8 3.2 46.0% 33.3%
C STARTER 5 27.4 17.0 8.8 2.0 43.0% 42.9%
G ROTATION 21 19.3 15.6 3.0 3.0 46.1% 39.1%
G ROTATION 5 28.2 15.2 3.0 3.0 44.4% 45.7%
G ROTATION 42 22.3 14.2 1.9 3.7 48.8% 39.3%