OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

4-1
Sim Win / Proj
33% (110.1)
5:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Grizzlies -6.2 · Proj Total: 226.4
Sim Win / Proj
67% (116.3)

Memphis Grizzlies

5-0
MEM

Game Bets & Ledger (OKC @ MEM)

Open NBA Picks & Props Board →

No live or settled paper-bank bets recorded on this game yet (resting maker quotes trigger at ≥8¢ edge vs Kalshi order book). Open the Live Court & Simulator or NBA Props & Picks to inspect all active player prop lines.

Team Standings & Season Profile

Full NBA Standings →

Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Memphis Grizzlies hold a 67% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Thunder 110.1, Grizzlies 116.3 (projected combined total of 226.4 points and an implied fair spread of Grizzlies -6.2). Visiting Oklahoma City Thunder (4-1, 108.2 PPG, 104.6 OPPG, +3.6 net diff) enters this matchup led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (30.8 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 6.4 APG), while host Memphis Grizzlies (5-0, 118.2 PPG, 106.2 OPPG, +12.0 net diff) counters with Ty Jerome (21.2 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 5.7 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-06 (5:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
OKC Oklahoma City Thunder #4 West 4-1 .800 1.0 33%110.1 108.2 104.6 +3.6 1-1 (Road) 4-1 L1
MEM Memphis Grizzlies #2 West 5-0 1.000 - 67%116.3 118.2 106.2 +12.0 1-0 (Home) 5-0 W5

OKC Oklahoma City Thunder Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderShai Gilgeous-Alexander
 G STARTER 73 33.2 30.8 4.3 6.4 54.6% 37.3%
Chet HolmgrenChet Holmgren
 C STARTER 72 29.0 16.9 8.9 1.7 55.2% 36.1%
Jalen WilliamsJalen Williams
 G STARTER 36 28.7 16.8 4.6 5.3 47.6% 30.2%
Ajay MitchellAjay Mitchell
 G ROTATION 62 25.8 14.0 3.3 3.6 49.0% 34.0%
Isaiah JoeIsaiah Joe
 G ROTATION 71 21.2 11.1 2.5 1.3 45.5% 42.3%
Jared McCainJared McCain
 G ROTATION 35 18.9 10.5 2.1 1.1 44.5% 38.9%
Aaron WigginsAaron Wiggins
 G ROTATION 65 21.8 9.4 3.1 1.7 43.1% 35.6%
Isaiah HartensteinIsaiah Hartenstein
 C STARTER 52 24.2 9.2 9.4 3.4 61.4% 0.0%

MEM Memphis Grizzlies Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Ty JeromeTy Jerome
 G STARTER 20 24.6 21.2 3.0 5.7 47.4% 40.2%
Ja MorantJa Morant
 G STARTER 20 28.4 19.4 3.2 8.1 41.0% 23.5%
Jaren Jackson Jr.Jaren Jackson Jr.
 F STARTER 45 30.8 19.2 5.8 1.9 47.5% 35.9%
Dariq WhiteheadDariq Whitehead
 F ROTATION 6 30.5 16.3 4.0 1.5 39.8% 31.7%
Cameron BoozerCameron Boozer
 F STARTER 5 32.0 15.8 10.6 6.2 33.8% 35.5%
Santi AldamaSanti Aldama
 F ROTATION 43 27.8 14.0 6.7 2.9 47.9% 35.0%
Cedric CowardCedric Coward
 F STARTER 66 26.1 13.6 6.1 2.8 47.3% 35.7%
Jaylen WellsJaylen Wells
 F STARTER 74 26.5 12.6 3.2 1.6 43.9% 35.9%