MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

3-2
Sim Win / Proj
62% (122.0)
5:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Timberwolves -4.3 · Proj Total: 239.8
Sim Win / Proj
38% (117.8)

New Orleans Pelicans

1-4
NO

Game Bets & Ledger (MIN @ NO)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Minnesota Timberwolves hold a 62% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Timberwolves 122.0, Pelicans 117.8 (projected combined total of 239.8 points and an implied fair spread of Timberwolves -4.3). Visiting Minnesota Timberwolves (3-2, 120.4 PPG, 107.8 OPPG, +12.6 net diff) enters this matchup led by Anthony Edwards (29.1 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 3.7 APG), while host New Orleans Pelicans (1-4, 119.4 PPG, 121.6 OPPG, -2.2 net diff) counters with Zion Williamson (21.1 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 3.1 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-06 (5:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
MIN Minnesota Timberwolves #6 West 3-2 .600 2.0 62%122.0 120.4 107.8 +12.6 2-1 (Road) 3-2 L2
NO New Orleans Pelicans #13 West 1-4 .200 4.0 38%117.8 119.4 121.6 -2.2 1-2 (Home) 1-4 W1

MIN Minnesota Timberwolves Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Anthony EdwardsAnthony Edwards
 G STARTER 65 34.9 29.1 4.9 3.7 48.9% 39.9%
Julius RandleJulius Randle
 F STARTER 79 33.1 21.1 6.7 5.0 48.1% 31.5%
Jaden McDanielsJaden McDaniels
 F STARTER 78 31.8 14.9 4.4 2.7 51.8% 40.4%
Ayo DosunmuAyo Dosunmu
 G ROTATION 29 28.6 14.1 4.1 3.7 51.6% 41.7%
Naz ReidNaz Reid
 C ROTATION 77 26.1 13.6 6.2 2.2 45.6% 36.2%
LaMelo BallLaMelo Ball
 G STARTER 5 25.6 13.4 2.4 6.6 40.7% 35.9%
Jonathan KumingaJonathan Kuminga
 F STARTER 5 30.2 13.2 5.0 3.0 46.0% 47.6%
Donte DiVincenzoDonte DiVincenzo
 G STARTER 82 30.5 12.2 4.1 3.8 40.6% 37.9%

NO New Orleans Pelicans Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Zion WilliamsonZion Williamson
 F STARTER 67 29.9 21.1 5.6 3.1 60.3% 36.4%
Trey Murphy IIITrey Murphy III
 F STARTER 71 35.3 21.0 5.6 3.7 47.0% 37.8%
Saddiq BeySaddiq Bey
 G STARTER 77 30.7 17.4 5.4 2.5 45.1% 36.7%
Dejounte MurrayDejounte Murray
 G STARTER 18 28.8 16.9 5.4 6.3 48.0% 28.6%
Jeremiah FearsJeremiah Fears
 G STARTER 87 25.6 14.1 3.7 3.4 43.1% 32.7%
Jordan PooleJordan Poole
 G ROTATION 43 23.2 12.7 2.0 3.0 36.3% 32.8%
Derik QueenDerik Queen
 C STARTER 86 25.0 11.7 7.1 3.6 47.6% 26.9%
Herbert JonesHerbert Jones
 F STARTER 61 27.7 8.6 3.3 2.6 38.7% 30.6%