SA

San Antonio Spurs

3-2
Sim Win / Proj
73% (117.4)
7:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Spurs -8.0 · Proj Total: 226.8
Sim Win / Proj
27% (109.4)

Sacramento Kings

0-5
SAC

Game Bets & Ledger (SA @ SAC)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the San Antonio Spurs hold a 73% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Spurs 117.4, Kings 109.4 (projected combined total of 226.8 points and an implied fair spread of Spurs -8.0). Visiting San Antonio Spurs (3-2, 116.6 PPG, 110.0 OPPG, +6.6 net diff) enters this matchup led by Victor Wembanyama (24.9 PPG, 11.4 RPG, 3.1 APG), while host Sacramento Kings (0-5, 110.2 PPG, 126.8 OPPG, -16.6 net diff) counters with Darius Acuff Jr. (24.0 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 6.4 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-06 (7:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
SA San Antonio Spurs #7 West 3-2 .600 2.0 73%117.4 116.6 110.0 +6.6 2-0 (Road) 3-2 W3
SAC Sacramento Kings #15 West 0-5 .000 5.0 27%109.4 110.2 126.8 -16.6 0-2 (Home) 0-5 L5

SA San Antonio Spurs Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Victor WembanyamaVictor Wembanyama
 F STARTER 70 29.3 24.9 11.4 3.1 50.8% 34.3%
De'Aaron FoxDe'Aaron Fox
 G STARTER 78 31.1 18.3 3.8 6.3 48.7% 33.4%
Stephon CastleStephon Castle
 G STARTER 74 30.1 16.7 5.4 7.3 46.5% 33.7%
Devin VassellDevin Vassell
 G STARTER 73 30.7 13.8 4.0 2.6 43.3% 38.0%
Keldon JohnsonKeldon Johnson
 F ROTATION 88 23.1 12.9 5.3 1.3 51.9% 36.1%
Dylan HarperDylan Harper
 G ROTATION 75 23.3 12.3 3.6 3.9 50.0% 35.5%
Julian ChampagnieJulian Champagnie
 F STARTER 88 27.6 11.0 5.6 1.5 43.9% 38.7%
Harrison BarnesHarrison Barnes
 F STARTER 82 24.9 9.5 2.6 1.8 45.4% 38.1%

SAC Sacramento Kings Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Darius Acuff Jr.Darius Acuff Jr.
 G STARTER 5 36.4 24.0 3.4 6.4 37.8% 22.2%
Zach LaVineZach LaVine
 G STARTER 44 32.0 20.0 2.8 2.4 48.2% 38.6%
DeMar DeRozanDeMar DeRozan
 G STARTER 77 31.3 18.4 2.9 4.1 49.7% 32.0%
Domantas SabonisDomantas Sabonis
 F STARTER 24 31.2 16.1 12.4 4.8 57.4% 21.4%
Russell WestbrookRussell Westbrook
 G STARTER 64 29.0 15.2 5.4 6.7 42.7% 33.8%
Keegan MurrayKeegan Murray
 F STARTER 25 34.0 13.4 5.5 1.6 41.3% 26.1%
Dennis SchroderDennis Schroder
 G ROTATION 40 26.4 12.8 3.0 5.3 40.8% 34.3%
Maxime RaynaudMaxime Raynaud
 C STARTER 74 26.6 12.5 7.5 1.4 57.1% 32.4%