SAC

Sacramento Kings

0-0
Sim Win / Proj
20% (110.1)
5:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Spurs -10.5 · Proj Total: 230.7
Open Matchup Simulator →
Sim Win / Proj
80% (120.6)

San Antonio Spurs

0-0
SA

Pregame 500,000x GPU Monte Carlo Simulation & Matchup Preview

Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the San Antonio Spurs hold a 80% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Kings 110.1, Spurs 120.6 (projected combined total of 230.7 points and an implied fair spread of Spurs -10.5). Visiting Sacramento Kings (0-0, 111.0 PPG, 121.0 OPPG, -10.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Zach LaVine (19.2 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 2.3 APG), while host San Antonio Spurs (0-0, 119.7 PPG, 111.7 OPPG, +8.1 net diff) counters with Victor Wembanyama (24.9 PPG, 11.4 RPG, 3.1 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-10-27 (5:00 PM PT).

Team Profile Record Win Prob Proj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
SAC Sacramento Kings 0-0 20% 110.1 111.0 121.0 -10.0 7-34 (Road) 3-7 L1
SA San Antonio Spurs 0-0 80% 120.6 119.7 111.7 +8.1 32-8 (Home) 8-2 L1

SAC Sacramento Kings Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Zach LaVineZach LaVine
 G STARTER 39 31.4 19.2 2.8 2.3 47.9% 39.0%
DeMar DeRozanDeMar DeRozan
 G STARTER 77 31.3 18.4 2.9 4.1 49.7% 32.0%
Domantas SabonisDomantas Sabonis
 F STARTER 19 29.7 15.8 11.4 4.1 54.3% 18.5%
Russell WestbrookRussell Westbrook
 G STARTER 64 29.0 15.2 5.4 6.7 42.7% 33.8%
Keegan MurrayKeegan Murray
 F STARTER 23 34.6 14.0 5.7 1.7 42.0% 27.7%
Dennis SchroderDennis Schroder
 G ROTATION 40 26.4 12.8 3.0 5.3 40.8% 34.3%
Maxime RaynaudMaxime Raynaud
 C STARTER 74 26.6 12.5 7.5 1.4 57.1% 32.4%
Malik MonkMalik Monk
 G ROTATION 62 22.0 12.5 1.9 3.0 43.8% 39.5%

SA San Antonio Spurs Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Victor WembanyamaVictor Wembanyama
 F STARTER 65 29.1 24.9 11.4 3.1 51.0% 34.8%
De'Aaron FoxDe'Aaron Fox
 G STARTER 73 31.0 18.5 3.7 6.2 48.5% 33.2%
Stephon CastleStephon Castle
 G STARTER 69 30.0 16.6 5.3 7.4 46.9% 33.2%
Devin VassellDevin Vassell
 G STARTER 68 30.6 13.9 4.0 2.5 43.4% 38.3%
Keldon JohnsonKeldon Johnson
 F ROTATION 83 23.2 13.1 5.3 1.3 51.9% 36.4%
Dylan HarperDylan Harper
 G ROTATION 70 22.7 11.9 3.4 3.8 50.4% 35.7%
Julian ChampagnieJulian Champagnie
 F STARTER 83 27.6 11.0 5.7 1.5 43.5% 38.0%
Harrison BarnesHarrison Barnes
 F STARTER 78 25.8 9.9 2.8 1.9 45.5% 38.4%