CHA

Charlotte Hornets

0-0
Sim Win / Proj
33% (109.0)
4:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Pistons -6.0 · Proj Total: 224.0
Open Matchup Simulator →
Sim Win / Proj
67% (115.0)

Detroit Pistons

1-0
DET

Pregame 500,000x GPU Monte Carlo Simulation & Matchup Preview

Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Detroit Pistons hold a 67% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Hornets 109.0, Pistons 115.0 (projected combined total of 224.0 points and an implied fair spread of Pistons -6.0). Visiting Charlotte Hornets (0-0, 0.0 PPG, 0.0 OPPG, 0.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Charlotte Hornets primary starters, while host Detroit Pistons (1-0, 121.0 PPG, 113.0 OPPG, +8.0 net diff) counters with Cade Cunningham (22.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 8.0 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-10-28 (4:00 PM PT).

Team Profile Record Win Prob Proj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
CHA Charlotte Hornets 0-0 33% 109.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0-0 (Road) 0-0 -
DET Detroit Pistons 1-0 67% 115.0 121.0 113.0 +8.0 1-0 (Home) 1-0 W1

CHA Charlotte Hornets Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%

DET Detroit Pistons Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Cade CunninghamCade Cunningham
 G STARTER 1 35.0 22.0 4.0 8.0 44.4% 16.7%
Jalen DurenJalen Duren
 C STARTER 1 28.0 22.0 9.0 1.0 61.5% 0.0%
Duncan RobinsonDuncan Robinson
 F STARTER 1 28.0 21.0 2.0 2.0 50.0% 55.6%
Javonte GreenJavonte Green
 G ROTATION 1 18.0 19.0 4.0 0.0 50.0% 62.5%
Ausar ThompsonAusar Thompson
 G STARTER 1 33.0 11.0 11.0 5.0 50.0% 0.0%
Isaiah JoeIsaiah Joe
 G ROTATION 1 19.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 22.2% 28.6%
John CollinsJohn Collins
 F STARTER 1 25.0 6.0 5.0 1.0 42.9% 0.0%
Paul ReedPaul Reed
 F ROTATION 1 17.0 6.0 6.0 2.0 66.7% 0.0%