PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

1-0
Sim Win / Proj
46% (111.2)
4:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Pacers -1.5 · Proj Total: 224.0
Open Matchup Simulator →
Sim Win / Proj
54% (112.8)

Indiana Pacers

0-0
IND

Pregame 500,000x GPU Monte Carlo Simulation & Matchup Preview

Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Indiana Pacers hold a 54% pregame win probability with a projected final score of 76ers 111.2, Pacers 112.8 (projected combined total of 224.0 points and an implied fair spread of Pacers -1.5). Visiting Philadelphia 76ers (1-0, 106.0 PPG, 100.0 OPPG, +6.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Tyrese Maxey (28.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 5.0 APG), while host Indiana Pacers (0-0, 0.0 PPG, 0.0 OPPG, 0.0 net diff) counters with Indiana Pacers primary starters. The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-10-28 (4:00 PM PT).

Team Profile Record Win Prob Proj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
PHI Philadelphia 76ers 1-0 46% 111.2 106.0 100.0 +6.0 1-0 (Road) 1-0 W1
IND Indiana Pacers 0-0 54% 112.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0-0 (Home) 0-0 -

PHI Philadelphia 76ers Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Tyrese MaxeyTyrese Maxey
 G STARTER 1 40.0 28.0 4.0 5.0 47.4% 22.2%
Jaylen BrownJaylen Brown
 G STARTER 1 35.0 19.0 8.0 6.0 50.0% 50.0%
LeBron JamesLeBron James
 F STARTER 1 34.0 14.0 9.0 7.0 38.5% 0.0%
Joel EmbiidJoel Embiid
 C STARTER 1 33.0 13.0 11.0 6.0 26.7% 28.6%
Anfernee SimonsAnfernee Simons
 G ROTATION 1 25.0 13.0 2.0 0.0 50.0% 37.5%
Kentavious Caldwell-PopeKentavious Caldwell-Pope
 G ROTATION 1 26.0 10.0 4.0 1.0 37.5% 33.3%
VJ EdgecombeVJ Edgecombe
 G STARTER 1 35.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 40.0% 0.0%
Adem BonaAdem Bona
 C BENCH 1 10.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0% 0.0%

IND Indiana Pacers Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%