SAC

Sacramento Kings

0-1
Sim Win / Proj
16% (101.8)
5:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Pelicans -12.3 · Proj Total: 216.0
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Sim Win / Proj
84% (114.2)

New Orleans Pelicans

0-1
NO

Game Bets & Ledger (SAC @ NO)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the New Orleans Pelicans hold a 84% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Kings 101.8, Pelicans 114.2 (projected combined total of 216.0 points and an implied fair spread of Pelicans -12.3). Visiting Sacramento Kings (0-1, 96.0 PPG, 121.0 OPPG, -25.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Zach LaVine (19.4 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 2.3 APG), while host New Orleans Pelicans (0-1, 120.0 PPG, 123.0 OPPG, -3.0 net diff) counters with Trey Murphy III (21.4 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 3.7 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-10-29 (5:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
SAC Sacramento Kings #13 West 0-1 .000 1.0 16%101.8 96.0 121.0 -25.0 0-1 (Road) 0-1 L1
NO New Orleans Pelicans #8 West 0-1 .000 1.0 84%114.2 120.0 123.0 -3.0 0-1 (Home) 0-1 L1

SAC Sacramento Kings Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Zach LaVineZach LaVine
 G STARTER 40 31.5 19.4 2.8 2.3 48.1% 38.9%
DeMar DeRozanDeMar DeRozan
 G STARTER 77 31.3 18.4 2.9 4.1 49.7% 32.0%
Domantas SabonisDomantas Sabonis
 F STARTER 20 29.9 15.8 11.7 4.3 55.3% 18.5%
Russell WestbrookRussell Westbrook
 G STARTER 64 29.0 15.2 5.4 6.7 42.7% 33.8%
Keegan MurrayKeegan Murray
 F STARTER 24 34.3 13.5 5.7 1.6 41.2% 26.7%
Dennis SchroderDennis Schroder
 G ROTATION 40 26.4 12.8 3.0 5.3 40.8% 34.3%
Maxime RaynaudMaxime Raynaud
 C STARTER 74 26.6 12.5 7.5 1.4 57.1% 32.4%
Malik MonkMalik Monk
 G ROTATION 62 22.0 12.5 1.9 3.0 43.8% 39.5%

NO New Orleans Pelicans Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Trey Murphy IIITrey Murphy III
 F STARTER 67 35.4 21.4 5.7 3.7 46.9% 37.9%
Zion WilliamsonZion Williamson
 F STARTER 63 29.7 21.0 5.7 3.2 59.7% 37.5%
Saddiq BeySaddiq Bey
 G STARTER 73 31.1 17.6 5.5 2.5 45.1% 36.8%
Dejounte MurrayDejounte Murray
 G STARTER 15 28.3 17.1 5.2 6.4 48.5% 31.3%
Jeremiah FearsJeremiah Fears
 G STARTER 83 25.7 14.2 3.7 3.4 43.2% 32.8%
Jordan PooleJordan Poole
 G ROTATION 40 23.8 13.2 2.0 3.0 36.8% 33.0%
Derik QueenDerik Queen
 C STARTER 82 25.0 11.7 7.1 3.6 47.3% 26.1%
Bennedict MathurinBennedict Mathurin
 G ROTATION 1 18.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 42.9% 0.0%