MEM

Memphis Grizzlies

1-0
Sim Win / Proj
17% (117.6)
7:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Trail Blazers -11.9 · Proj Total: 247.0
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Sim Win / Proj
83% (129.4)

Portland Trail Blazers

1-0
POR

Game Bets & Ledger (MEM @ POR)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Portland Trail Blazers hold a 83% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Grizzlies 117.6, Trail Blazers 129.4 (projected combined total of 247.0 points and an implied fair spread of Trail Blazers -11.9). Visiting Memphis Grizzlies (1-0, 123.0 PPG, 103.0 OPPG, +20.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Ty Jerome (21.2 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 5.7 APG), while host Portland Trail Blazers (1-0, 124.0 PPG, 83.0 OPPG, +41.0 net diff) counters with Damian Lillard (25.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 6.0 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-10-29 (7:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
MEM Memphis Grizzlies #5 West 1-0 1.000 - 17%117.6 123.0 103.0 +20.0 0-0 (Road) 1-0 W1
POR Portland Trail Blazers #1 West 1-0 1.000 - 83%129.4 124.0 83.0 +41.0 1-0 (Home) 1-0 W1

MEM Memphis Grizzlies Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Ty JeromeTy Jerome
 G STARTER 16 23.3 21.2 3.1 5.7 49.6% 42.7%
Ja MorantJa Morant
 G STARTER 20 28.4 19.4 3.2 8.1 41.0% 23.5%
Jaren Jackson Jr.Jaren Jackson Jr.
 F STARTER 45 30.8 19.2 5.8 1.9 47.5% 35.9%
Dariq WhiteheadDariq Whitehead
 F ROTATION 6 30.5 16.3 4.0 1.5 39.8% 31.7%
Jerami GrantJerami Grant
 F ROTATION 1 24.0 15.0 2.0 3.0 44.4% 50.0%
Santi AldamaSanti Aldama
 F ROTATION 43 27.8 14.0 6.7 2.9 47.9% 35.0%
Cedric CowardCedric Coward
 F STARTER 63 25.9 13.5 5.9 2.7 47.1% 33.9%
Zach EdeyZach Edey
 C STARTER 12 25.4 13.0 10.9 1.0 63.1% 20.0%

POR Portland Trail Blazers Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Damian LillardDamian Lillard
 G STARTER 1 24.0 25.0 3.0 6.0 58.3% 60.0%
Deni AvdijaDeni Avdija
 F STARTER 67 33.2 24.1 6.9 6.7 46.2% 32.0%
Shaedon SharpeShaedon Sharpe
 G STARTER 50 29.4 20.8 4.3 2.6 45.2% 33.7%
Jerami GrantJerami Grant
 F STARTER 57 29.8 18.6 3.5 2.1 45.3% 38.9%
Jrue HolidayJrue Holiday
 G STARTER 54 29.2 16.2 4.6 6.0 45.0% 37.5%
Scoot HendersonScoot Henderson
 G ROTATION 31 24.7 14.3 2.6 3.6 42.1% 34.5%
Ja MorantJa Morant
 G STARTER 1 23.0 14.0 5.0 8.0 75.0% 66.7%
Toumani CamaraToumani Camara
 F STARTER 83 33.2 13.5 5.1 2.5 44.2% 37.2%