POR

Portland Trail Blazers

1-0
Sim Win / Proj
88% (121.2)
12:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Trail Blazers -15.5 · Proj Total: 227.0
Sim Win / Proj
12% (105.8)

Utah Jazz

0-1
UTAH

Game Bets & Ledger (POR @ UTAH)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Portland Trail Blazers hold a 88% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Trail Blazers 121.2, Jazz 105.8 (projected combined total of 227.0 points and an implied fair spread of Trail Blazers -15.5). Visiting Portland Trail Blazers (1-0, 124.0 PPG, 83.0 OPPG, +41.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Damian Lillard (25.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 6.0 APG), while host Utah Jazz (0-1, 103.0 PPG, 123.0 OPPG, -20.0 net diff) counters with Lauri Markkanen (26.5 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 2.1 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-10-31 (12:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
POR Portland Trail Blazers #2 West 1-0 1.000 0.5 88%121.2 124.0 83.0 +41.0 0-0 (Road) 1-0 W1
UTAH Utah Jazz #12 West 0-1 .000 1.5 12%105.8 103.0 123.0 -20.0 0-0 (Home) 0-1 L1

POR Portland Trail Blazers Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Damian LillardDamian Lillard
 G STARTER 1 24.0 25.0 3.0 6.0 58.3% 60.0%
Deni AvdijaDeni Avdija
 F STARTER 67 33.2 24.1 6.9 6.7 46.2% 32.0%
Shaedon SharpeShaedon Sharpe
 G STARTER 50 29.4 20.8 4.3 2.6 45.2% 33.7%
Jerami GrantJerami Grant
 F STARTER 57 29.8 18.6 3.5 2.1 45.3% 38.9%
Jrue HolidayJrue Holiday
 G STARTER 54 29.2 16.2 4.6 6.0 45.0% 37.5%
Scoot HendersonScoot Henderson
 G ROTATION 31 24.7 14.3 2.6 3.6 42.1% 34.5%
Ja MorantJa Morant
 G STARTER 1 23.0 14.0 5.0 8.0 75.0% 66.7%
Toumani CamaraToumani Camara
 F STARTER 83 33.2 13.5 5.1 2.5 44.2% 37.2%

UTAH Utah Jazz Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Lauri MarkkanenLauri Markkanen
 F STARTER 43 34.4 26.5 6.9 2.1 47.4% 35.0%
Keyonte GeorgeKeyonte George
 G STARTER 55 33.0 23.6 3.7 6.1 45.8% 37.6%
Jaren Jackson Jr.Jaren Jackson Jr.
 F STARTER 4 25.0 20.5 4.5 2.5 50.8% 36.8%
Kennedy ChandlerKennedy Chandler
 G ROTATION 11 32.2 15.0 3.4 6.7 44.5% 39.5%
Brice SensabaughBrice Sensabaugh
 F ROTATION 75 23.7 14.9 3.1 1.9 45.9% 36.5%
Walker KesslerWalker Kessler
 C STARTER 5 31.0 14.4 10.8 3.0 70.3% 75.0%
Ace BaileyAce Bailey
 G STARTER 73 27.5 13.8 4.2 1.8 44.3% 34.5%
Blake HinsonBlake Hinson
 F ROTATION 14 20.4 11.9 2.4 1.1 51.3% 46.8%