SAC

Sacramento Kings

0-1
Sim Win / Proj
12% (101.8)
5:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Grizzlies -15.5 · Proj Total: 219.0
Sim Win / Proj
88% (117.2)

Memphis Grizzlies

1-0
MEM

Game Bets & Ledger (SAC @ MEM)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Memphis Grizzlies hold a 88% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Kings 101.8, Grizzlies 117.2 (projected combined total of 219.0 points and an implied fair spread of Grizzlies -15.5). Visiting Sacramento Kings (0-1, 96.0 PPG, 121.0 OPPG, -25.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Zach LaVine (19.4 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 2.3 APG), while host Memphis Grizzlies (1-0, 123.0 PPG, 103.0 OPPG, +20.0 net diff) counters with Ty Jerome (21.2 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 5.7 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-10-31 (5:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
SAC Sacramento Kings #14 West 0-1 .000 1.5 12%101.8 96.0 121.0 -25.0 0-1 (Road) 0-1 L1
MEM Memphis Grizzlies #6 West 1-0 1.000 0.5 88%117.2 123.0 103.0 +20.0 1-0 (Home) 1-0 W1

SAC Sacramento Kings Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Zach LaVineZach LaVine
 G STARTER 40 31.5 19.4 2.8 2.3 48.1% 38.9%
DeMar DeRozanDeMar DeRozan
 G STARTER 77 31.3 18.4 2.9 4.1 49.7% 32.0%
Domantas SabonisDomantas Sabonis
 F STARTER 20 29.9 15.8 11.7 4.3 55.3% 18.5%
Russell WestbrookRussell Westbrook
 G STARTER 64 29.0 15.2 5.4 6.7 42.7% 33.8%
Keegan MurrayKeegan Murray
 F STARTER 24 34.3 13.5 5.7 1.6 41.2% 26.7%
Dennis SchroderDennis Schroder
 G ROTATION 40 26.4 12.8 3.0 5.3 40.8% 34.3%
Maxime RaynaudMaxime Raynaud
 C STARTER 74 26.6 12.5 7.5 1.4 57.1% 32.4%
Malik MonkMalik Monk
 G ROTATION 62 22.0 12.5 1.9 3.0 43.8% 39.5%

MEM Memphis Grizzlies Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Ty JeromeTy Jerome
 G STARTER 16 23.3 21.2 3.1 5.7 49.6% 42.7%
Ja MorantJa Morant
 G STARTER 20 28.4 19.4 3.2 8.1 41.0% 23.5%
Jaren Jackson Jr.Jaren Jackson Jr.
 F STARTER 45 30.8 19.2 5.8 1.9 47.5% 35.9%
Dariq WhiteheadDariq Whitehead
 F ROTATION 6 30.5 16.3 4.0 1.5 39.8% 31.7%
Jerami GrantJerami Grant
 F ROTATION 1 24.0 15.0 2.0 3.0 44.4% 50.0%
Santi AldamaSanti Aldama
 F ROTATION 43 27.8 14.0 6.7 2.9 47.9% 35.0%
Cedric CowardCedric Coward
 F STARTER 63 25.9 13.5 5.9 2.7 47.1% 33.9%
Zach EdeyZach Edey
 C STARTER 12 25.4 13.0 10.9 1.0 63.1% 20.0%