BOS

Boston Celtics

1-1
Sim Win / Proj
59% (111.1)
12:30 PM PT
Implied Edge: Celtics -3.2 · Proj Total: 219.0
Sim Win / Proj
41% (107.9)

Orlando Magic

0-2
ORL

Game Bets & Ledger (BOS @ ORL)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Boston Celtics hold a 59% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Celtics 111.1, Magic 107.9 (projected combined total of 219.0 points and an implied fair spread of Celtics -3.2). Visiting Boston Celtics (1-1, 110.0 PPG, 112.0 OPPG, -2.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Jaylen Brown (28.7 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 5.1 APG), while host Orlando Magic (0-2, 109.0 PPG, 123.5 OPPG, -14.5 net diff) counters with Paolo Banchero (22.3 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 5.2 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-01 (12:30 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
BOS Boston Celtics #7 East 1-1 .500 1.5 59%111.1 110.0 112.0 -2.0 0-1 (Road) 1-1 W1
ORL Orlando Magic #14 East 0-2 .000 2.5 41%107.9 109.0 123.5 -14.5 0-2 (Home) 0-2 L2

BOS Boston Celtics Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
G STARTER 71 34.4 28.7 6.9 5.1 47.7% 34.7%
F STARTER 2 32.5 26.5 6.0 2.5 50.0% 52.6%
F STARTER 18 33.2 22.1 9.6 5.7 41.1% 31.2%
G STARTER 81 32.3 16.9 3.9 5.1 46.2% 37.7%
G STARTER 79 34.1 16.4 4.4 5.4 39.7% 32.8%
G ROTATION 49 24.5 14.2 2.4 2.4 44.0% 39.5%
C STARTER 78 25.3 10.2 8.3 1.7 64.9% 22.2%
C ROTATION 16 21.1 9.7 6.6 2.0 43.9% 34.0%

ORL Orlando Magic Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
F STARTER 74 34.7 22.3 8.3 5.2 46.4% 31.0%
F STARTER 36 30.0 20.5 5.2 3.4 48.1% 33.3%
G STARTER 84 33.5 19.9 4.1 4.0 47.9% 38.3%
G STARTER 64 29.9 15.0 3.8 3.7 44.7% 33.3%
G STARTER 59 27.7 13.7 3.9 5.5 43.3% 33.6%
C STARTER 80 29.4 12.1 7.4 1.9 52.1% 32.6%
F ROTATION 79 24.8 9.9 3.7 1.6 44.7% 37.0%
G ROTATION 31 20.2 6.9 2.1 2.2 39.8% 33.3%