SAC

Sacramento Kings

0-3
Sim Win / Proj
29% (107.2)
5:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Mavericks -7.4 · Proj Total: 221.8
Sim Win / Proj
71% (114.6)

Dallas Mavericks

2-2
DAL

Game Bets & Ledger (SAC @ DAL)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Dallas Mavericks hold a 71% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Kings 107.2, Mavericks 114.6 (projected combined total of 221.8 points and an implied fair spread of Mavericks -7.4). Visiting Sacramento Kings (0-3, 109.3 PPG, 124.0 OPPG, -14.7 net diff) enters this matchup led by Darius Acuff Jr. (22.3 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 4.7 APG), while host Dallas Mavericks (2-2, 112.5 PPG, 116.0 OPPG, -3.5 net diff) counters with Cooper Flagg (21.2 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 4.6 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-02 (5:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
SAC Sacramento Kings #15 West 0-3 .000 3.5 29%107.2 109.3 124.0 -14.7 0-1 (Road) 0-3 L3
DAL Dallas Mavericks #7 West 2-2 .500 2.0 71%114.6 112.5 116.0 -3.5 0-1 (Home) 2-2 W1

SAC Sacramento Kings Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Darius Acuff Jr.Darius Acuff Jr.
 G STARTER 3 36.0 22.3 2.7 4.7 32.9% 14.8%
Zach LaVineZach LaVine
 G STARTER 42 31.9 19.9 2.8 2.4 48.0% 38.4%
DeMar DeRozanDeMar DeRozan
 G STARTER 77 31.3 18.4 2.9 4.1 49.7% 32.0%
Domantas SabonisDomantas Sabonis
 F STARTER 22 30.6 16.2 12.2 4.5 57.1% 21.4%
Russell WestbrookRussell Westbrook
 G STARTER 64 29.0 15.2 5.4 6.7 42.7% 33.8%
Keegan MurrayKeegan Murray
 F STARTER 25 34.0 13.4 5.5 1.6 41.3% 26.1%
Dennis SchroderDennis Schroder
 G ROTATION 40 26.4 12.8 3.0 5.3 40.8% 34.3%
Maxime RaynaudMaxime Raynaud
 C STARTER 74 26.6 12.5 7.5 1.4 57.1% 32.4%

DAL Dallas Mavericks Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Cooper FlaggCooper Flagg
 F STARTER 73 33.4 21.2 6.6 4.6 47.2% 29.8%
Anthony DavisAnthony Davis
 F STARTER 20 31.2 20.4 11.1 2.8 50.6% 27.0%
Kyrie IrvingKyrie Irving
 G STARTER 3 27.3 19.0 3.7 3.7 51.2% 33.3%
Naji MarshallNaji Marshall
 F STARTER 77 29.4 15.2 4.6 3.4 50.9% 28.9%
P.J. WashingtonP.J. Washington
 F STARTER 60 31.2 14.2 7.1 1.7 45.1% 32.6%
Brandon WilliamsBrandon Williams
 G ROTATION 66 22.2 13.0 2.9 3.9 47.2% 23.2%
Max ChristieMax Christie
 G STARTER 81 29.2 12.1 3.3 2.0 43.8% 39.9%
Klay ThompsonKlay Thompson
 G ROTATION 69 21.7 11.7 2.1 1.4 39.3% 38.3%