NO

New Orleans Pelicans

0-3
Sim Win / Proj
27% (116.6)
5:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Grizzlies -8.3 · Proj Total: 241.5
Sim Win / Proj
73% (124.9)

Memphis Grizzlies

4-0
MEM

Game Bets & Ledger (NO @ MEM)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Memphis Grizzlies hold a 73% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Pelicans 116.6, Grizzlies 124.9 (projected combined total of 241.5 points and an implied fair spread of Grizzlies -8.3). Visiting New Orleans Pelicans (0-3, 124.7 PPG, 128.0 OPPG, -3.3 net diff) enters this matchup led by Trey Murphy III (21.2 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 3.7 APG), while host Memphis Grizzlies (4-0, 116.8 PPG, 107.0 OPPG, +9.8 net diff) counters with Ty Jerome (21.8 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 5.8 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-02 (5:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
NO New Orleans Pelicans #14 West 0-3 .000 3.5 27%116.6 124.7 128.0 -3.3 0-2 (Road) 0-3 L3
MEM Memphis Grizzlies #3 West 4-0 1.000 - 73%124.9 116.8 107.0 +9.8 1-0 (Home) 4-0 W4

NO New Orleans Pelicans Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Trey Murphy IIITrey Murphy III
 F STARTER 69 35.4 21.2 5.7 3.7 47.1% 38.0%
Zion WilliamsonZion Williamson
 F STARTER 65 29.8 21.0 5.6 3.2 59.8% 30.0%
Saddiq BeySaddiq Bey
 G STARTER 75 30.9 17.6 5.5 2.5 45.2% 36.9%
Dejounte MurrayDejounte Murray
 G STARTER 17 28.8 17.4 5.3 6.4 48.5% 29.3%
Jeremiah FearsJeremiah Fears
 G STARTER 85 25.6 14.0 3.6 3.3 43.0% 32.5%
Jordan PooleJordan Poole
 G ROTATION 42 23.6 13.0 2.0 3.1 36.4% 32.9%
Derik QueenDerik Queen
 C STARTER 84 25.0 11.8 7.1 3.6 47.5% 26.4%
Herbert JonesHerbert Jones
 F STARTER 59 27.8 8.6 3.3 2.6 38.4% 31.1%

MEM Memphis Grizzlies Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Ty JeromeTy Jerome
 G STARTER 19 24.6 21.8 3.0 5.8 48.3% 40.9%
Ja MorantJa Morant
 G STARTER 20 28.4 19.4 3.2 8.1 41.0% 23.5%
Jaren Jackson Jr.Jaren Jackson Jr.
 F STARTER 45 30.8 19.2 5.8 1.9 47.5% 35.9%
Dariq WhiteheadDariq Whitehead
 F ROTATION 6 30.5 16.3 4.0 1.5 39.8% 31.7%
Cameron BoozerCameron Boozer
 F STARTER 4 33.0 15.2 10.5 4.8 29.5% 26.9%
Santi AldamaSanti Aldama
 F ROTATION 43 27.8 14.0 6.7 2.9 47.9% 35.0%
Cedric CowardCedric Coward
 F STARTER 65 26.0 13.6 6.0 2.7 47.3% 35.3%
Jaylen WellsJaylen Wells
 F STARTER 73 26.5 12.7 3.2 1.6 43.9% 36.0%