MIL

Milwaukee Bucks

1-3
Sim Win / Proj
15% (113.1)
5:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Timberwolves -12.5 · Proj Total: 238.8
Sim Win / Proj
85% (125.7)

Minnesota Timberwolves

3-1
MIN

Game Bets & Ledger (MIL @ MIN)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Minnesota Timberwolves hold a 85% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Bucks 113.1, Timberwolves 125.7 (projected combined total of 238.8 points and an implied fair spread of Timberwolves -12.5). Visiting Milwaukee Bucks (1-3, 116.8 PPG, 122.2 OPPG, -5.5 net diff) enters this matchup led by Giannis Antetokounmpo (27.6 PPG, 9.8 RPG, 5.4 APG), while host Minnesota Timberwolves (3-1, 122.0 PPG, 105.0 OPPG, +17.0 net diff) counters with Anthony Edwards (29.1 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 3.7 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-02 (5:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
MIL Milwaukee Bucks #11 East 1-3 .250 2.5 15%113.1 116.8 122.2 -5.5 0-2 (Road) 1-3 W1
MIN Minnesota Timberwolves #6 West 3-1 .750 1.0 85%125.7 122.0 105.0 +17.0 1-0 (Home) 3-1 L1

MIL Milwaukee Bucks Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Giannis AntetokounmpoGiannis Antetokounmpo
 F STARTER 36 28.9 27.6 9.8 5.4 62.4% 33.3%
Tyler HerroTyler Herro
 G STARTER 4 31.8 23.5 5.8 5.8 46.6% 43.3%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.Jaime Jaquez Jr.
 F STARTER 4 29.5 17.5 8.0 2.8 53.1% 38.5%
Kevin Porter Jr.Kevin Porter Jr.
 G STARTER 38 33.2 17.4 5.2 7.4 46.5% 32.2%
Ryan RollinsRyan Rollins
 G STARTER 78 31.9 17.1 4.6 5.5 46.8% 40.2%
Cormac RyanCormac Ryan
 G ROTATION 11 24.5 14.3 2.5 1.7 52.0% 45.8%
Bobby PortisBobby Portis
 F ROTATION 67 24.1 13.7 6.4 1.6 48.8% 45.6%
Kel'el WareKel'el Ware
 C ROTATION 4 19.2 13.2 8.5 0.5 56.8% 25.0%

MIN Minnesota Timberwolves Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Anthony EdwardsAnthony Edwards
 G STARTER 65 34.9 29.1 4.9 3.7 48.9% 39.9%
Julius RandleJulius Randle
 F STARTER 79 33.1 21.1 6.7 5.0 48.1% 31.5%
Jaden McDanielsJaden McDaniels
 F STARTER 77 31.8 14.9 4.4 2.7 51.9% 41.3%
LaMelo BallLaMelo Ball
 G STARTER 4 25.0 14.8 2.0 6.2 43.8% 38.7%
Ayo DosunmuAyo Dosunmu
 G ROTATION 28 28.4 14.0 4.2 3.6 51.7% 41.7%
Naz ReidNaz Reid
 C ROTATION 77 26.1 13.6 6.2 2.2 45.6% 36.2%
Donte DiVincenzoDonte DiVincenzo
 G STARTER 82 30.5 12.2 4.1 3.8 40.6% 37.9%
Jonathan KumingaJonathan Kuminga
 F STARTER 4 29.8 11.5 5.5 2.5 45.7% 46.7%