UTAH

Utah Jazz

1-3
Sim Win / Proj
33% (109.4)
5:30 PM PT
Implied Edge: Spurs -6.1 · Proj Total: 224.8
Sim Win / Proj
67% (115.4)

San Antonio Spurs

1-2
SA

Game Bets & Ledger (UTAH @ SA)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the San Antonio Spurs hold a 67% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Jazz 109.4, Spurs 115.4 (projected combined total of 224.8 points and an implied fair spread of Spurs -6.1). Visiting Utah Jazz (1-3, 112.8 PPG, 121.0 OPPG, -8.2 net diff) enters this matchup led by Lauri Markkanen (25.8 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 2.1 APG), while host San Antonio Spurs (1-2, 112.0 PPG, 112.0 OPPG, 0.0 net diff) counters with Victor Wembanyama (24.7 PPG, 11.4 RPG, 3.0 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-02 (5:30 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
UTAH Utah Jazz #13 West 1-3 .250 3.0 33%109.4 112.8 121.0 -8.2 0-1 (Road) 1-3 L2
SA San Antonio Spurs #9 West 1-2 .333 2.5 67%115.4 112.0 112.0 0.0 0-2 (Home) 1-2 W1

UTAH Utah Jazz Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Lauri MarkkanenLauri Markkanen
 F STARTER 46 33.9 25.8 6.7 2.1 47.3% 35.5%
Keyonte GeorgeKeyonte George
 G STARTER 58 33.0 23.6 3.7 6.3 46.1% 37.3%
Jaren Jackson Jr.Jaren Jackson Jr.
 F STARTER 7 25.1 18.9 4.7 2.3 49.5% 34.5%
Kennedy ChandlerKennedy Chandler
 G ROTATION 11 32.2 15.0 3.4 6.7 44.5% 39.5%
Brice SensabaughBrice Sensabaugh
 F ROTATION 78 23.3 14.7 3.1 1.9 46.0% 36.8%
Walker KesslerWalker Kessler
 C STARTER 5 31.0 14.4 10.8 3.0 70.3% 75.0%
Ace BaileyAce Bailey
 G STARTER 76 27.5 13.8 4.4 1.9 44.6% 34.5%
Blake HinsonBlake Hinson
 F ROTATION 14 20.4 11.9 2.4 1.1 51.3% 46.8%

SA San Antonio Spurs Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Victor WembanyamaVictor Wembanyama
 F STARTER 68 29.2 24.7 11.4 3.0 50.4% 34.4%
De'Aaron FoxDe'Aaron Fox
 G STARTER 76 31.0 18.5 3.8 6.3 48.8% 33.3%
Stephon CastleStephon Castle
 G STARTER 72 30.0 16.8 5.4 7.3 46.6% 33.7%
Devin VassellDevin Vassell
 G STARTER 71 30.7 13.7 4.0 2.5 43.3% 38.1%
Keldon JohnsonKeldon Johnson
 F ROTATION 86 23.2 12.9 5.3 1.3 52.0% 36.3%
Dylan HarperDylan Harper
 G ROTATION 73 23.1 12.2 3.5 3.8 50.3% 35.2%
Julian ChampagnieJulian Champagnie
 F STARTER 86 27.6 10.9 5.6 1.5 43.5% 38.0%
Harrison BarnesHarrison Barnes
 F STARTER 81 25.1 9.6 2.7 1.9 45.4% 38.3%