POR

Portland Trail Blazers

2-0
Sim Win / Proj
85% (125.8)
6:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Trail Blazers -12.5 · Proj Total: 239.0
Sim Win / Proj
15% (113.2)

Denver Nuggets

1-2
DEN

Game Bets & Ledger (POR @ DEN)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Portland Trail Blazers hold a 85% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Trail Blazers 125.8, Nuggets 113.2 (projected combined total of 239.0 points and an implied fair spread of Trail Blazers -12.5). Visiting Portland Trail Blazers (2-0, 126.0 PPG, 101.5 OPPG, +24.5 net diff) enters this matchup led by Deni Avdija (24.1 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 6.6 APG), while host Denver Nuggets (1-2, 113.0 PPG, 121.7 OPPG, -8.7 net diff) counters with Nikola Jokic (27.4 PPG, 12.7 RPG, 10.6 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-02 (6:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
POR Portland Trail Blazers #5 West 2-0 1.000 1.0 85%125.8 126.0 101.5 +24.5 1-0 (Road) 2-0 W2
DEN Denver Nuggets #10 West 1-2 .333 2.5 15%113.2 113.0 121.7 -8.7 1-1 (Home) 1-2 L1

POR Portland Trail Blazers Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Deni AvdijaDeni Avdija
 F STARTER 68 33.3 24.1 6.9 6.6 46.3% 31.8%
Damian LillardDamian Lillard
 G STARTER 2 28.5 22.0 4.0 4.0 46.7% 40.0%
Shaedon SharpeShaedon Sharpe
 G STARTER 50 29.4 20.8 4.3 2.6 45.2% 33.7%
Jerami GrantJerami Grant
 F STARTER 57 29.8 18.6 3.5 2.1 45.3% 38.9%
Jrue HolidayJrue Holiday
 G STARTER 55 29.2 16.1 4.5 6.0 45.0% 37.4%
Scoot HendersonScoot Henderson
 G ROTATION 32 24.6 13.9 2.6 3.6 41.6% 33.9%
Toumani CamaraToumani Camara
 F STARTER 84 33.1 13.5 5.1 2.4 44.4% 37.4%
Ja MorantJa Morant
 G STARTER 2 25.0 13.0 4.0 7.5 52.4% 37.5%

DEN Denver Nuggets Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Nikola JokicNikola Jokic
 C STARTER 68 35.0 27.4 12.7 10.6 56.1% 36.8%
Jamal MurrayJamal Murray
 G STARTER 78 35.5 25.3 4.5 7.1 48.2% 43.7%
Aaron GordonAaron Gordon
 F STARTER 39 28.1 15.8 5.7 2.6 48.8% 38.5%
DeMar DeRozanDeMar DeRozan
 G ROTATION 3 27.0 15.3 3.0 1.7 47.1% 25.0%
Peyton WatsonPeyton Watson
 G STARTER 54 29.6 14.6 4.9 2.1 49.1% 41.1%
Tim Hardaway Jr.Tim Hardaway Jr.
 G ROTATION 80 26.6 13.5 2.6 1.4 44.7% 40.7%
Cameron JohnsonCameron Johnson
 F STARTER 55 30.2 12.1 3.8 2.4 48.1% 43.2%
Christian BraunChristian Braun
 G STARTER 47 32.0 11.9 4.9 2.7 51.6% 28.8%