PHX

Phoenix Suns

1-2
Sim Win / Proj
30% (109.6)
7:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Warriors -7.3 · Proj Total: 226.5
Sim Win / Proj
70% (116.9)

Golden State Warriors

1-3
GS

Game Bets & Ledger (PHX @ GS)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Golden State Warriors hold a 70% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Suns 109.6, Warriors 116.9 (projected combined total of 226.5 points and an implied fair spread of Warriors -7.3). Visiting Phoenix Suns (1-2, 109.3 PPG, 123.7 OPPG, -14.3 net diff) enters this matchup led by Devin Booker (25.9 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 6.0 APG), while host Golden State Warriors (1-3, 117.2 PPG, 120.8 OPPG, -3.5 net diff) counters with Stephen Curry (26.4 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 4.6 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-02 (7:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
PHX Phoenix Suns #11 West 1-2 .333 2.5 30%109.6 109.3 123.7 -14.3 0-2 (Road) 1-2 L1
GS Golden State Warriors #12 West 1-3 .250 3.0 70%116.9 117.2 120.8 -3.5 0-1 (Home) 1-3 W1

PHX Phoenix Suns Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Devin BookerDevin Booker
 G STARTER 67 33.5 25.9 3.9 6.0 45.9% 32.7%
Dillon BrooksDillon Brooks
 F STARTER 59 30.4 19.9 3.6 1.8 43.3% 34.4%
Jalen GreenJalen Green
 G STARTER 35 26.0 17.4 3.5 2.8 42.6% 31.4%
Grayson AllenGrayson Allen
 G STARTER 51 28.8 16.5 3.0 3.8 40.3% 34.9%
Miles BridgesMiles Bridges
 F STARTER 3 31.3 13.7 6.3 2.3 41.0% 20.0%
Collin GillespieCollin Gillespie
 G STARTER 83 28.3 12.4 4.0 4.6 41.5% 39.6%
Mark WilliamsMark Williams
 C STARTER 60 23.6 11.7 8.0 1.0 64.4% 100.0%
Luke KennardLuke Kennard
 G ROTATION 2 17.0 10.0 2.5 1.5 63.6% 60.0%

GS Golden State Warriors Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Stephen CurryStephen Curry
 G STARTER 46 30.6 26.4 3.5 4.6 47.1% 39.3%
Yaxel LendeborgYaxel Lendeborg
 F STARTER 4 33.2 21.8 9.2 4.8 45.0% 34.6%
Jimmy Butler IIIJimmy Butler III
 F STARTER 38 31.2 20.0 5.6 4.9 51.9% 37.6%
Kristaps PorzingisKristaps Porzingis
 C STARTER 15 23.8 16.1 5.3 2.3 43.3% 31.1%
Brandin PodziemskiBrandin Podziemski
 G STARTER 84 28.6 13.9 5.1 3.7 45.5% 37.0%
Moses MoodyMoses Moody
 G STARTER 60 25.7 12.1 3.3 1.6 44.0% 40.1%
Jonathan KumingaJonathan Kuminga
 F STARTER 20 23.9 12.1 5.8 2.5 45.4% 32.1%
De'Anthony MeltonDe'Anthony Melton
 G ROTATION 53 22.9 12.1 3.2 2.5 41.1% 30.0%