PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

3-1
Sim Win / Proj
39% (109.6)
4:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Pistons -3.8 · Proj Total: 223.0
Sim Win / Proj
61% (113.4)

Detroit Pistons

3-1
DET

Game Bets & Ledger (PHI @ DET)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Detroit Pistons hold a 61% pregame win probability with a projected final score of 76ers 109.6, Pistons 113.4 (projected combined total of 223.0 points and an implied fair spread of Pistons -3.8). Visiting Philadelphia 76ers (3-1, 110.0 PPG, 107.0 OPPG, +3.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Tyrese Maxey (28.3 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 6.5 APG), while host Detroit Pistons (3-1, 113.0 PPG, 107.0 OPPG, +6.0 net diff) counters with Cade Cunningham (23.7 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 9.8 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-04 (4:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
PHI Philadelphia 76ers #3 East 3-1 .750 - 39%109.6 110.0 107.0 +3.0 1-0 (Road) 3-1 L1
DET Detroit Pistons #2 East 3-1 .750 - 61%113.4 113.0 107.0 +6.0 1-0 (Home) 3-1 L1

PHI Philadelphia 76ers Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
G STARTER 74 38.0 28.3 4.1 6.5 46.3% 36.4%
C STARTER 41 31.7 26.5 7.9 4.1 48.3% 32.4%
G STARTER 4 37.0 20.8 5.8 4.8 42.5% 42.1%
F STARTER 37 30.6 17.3 5.3 3.6 43.9% 39.2%
F STARTER 3 33.3 16.3 7.0 5.7 42.9% 10.0%
G STARTER 78 34.9 15.8 5.7 4.2 43.6% 35.4%
G STARTER 50 31.5 14.1 5.0 1.6 46.7% 36.0%
G ROTATION 75 29.5 13.4 3.6 3.3 45.0% 33.4%

DET Detroit Pistons Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
G STARTER 68 33.9 23.7 5.6 9.8 46.1% 34.1%
C STARTER 72 28.0 19.3 10.4 2.0 64.9% 0.0%
F STARTER 63 27.8 13.3 5.1 2.5 46.9% 36.8%
F STARTER 81 27.6 12.5 2.6 2.1 45.3% 41.3%
F STARTER 4 28.8 11.8 8.0 0.8 48.8% 50.0%
F ROTATION 58 22.7 10.0 5.0 1.1 55.0% 33.3%
G STARTER 76 26.0 9.8 5.8 3.2 52.4% 22.2%
G ROTATION 76 20.4 9.4 2.4 3.9 41.2% 38.0%