ATL

Atlanta Hawks

2-2
Sim Win / Proj
55% (118.5)
4:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Hawks -1.8 · Proj Total: 235.2
Sim Win / Proj
45% (116.7)

Washington Wizards

2-2
WSH

Game Bets & Ledger (ATL @ WSH)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Atlanta Hawks hold a 55% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Hawks 118.5, Wizards 116.7 (projected combined total of 235.2 points and an implied fair spread of Hawks -1.8). Visiting Atlanta Hawks (2-2, 121.0 PPG, 111.8 OPPG, +9.2 net diff) enters this matchup led by Jalen Johnson (22.5 PPG, 10.2 RPG, 7.9 APG), while host Washington Wizards (2-2, 114.2 PPG, 114.5 OPPG, -0.2 net diff) counters with Anthony Davis (22.8 PPG, 9.2 RPG, 2.0 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-04 (4:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
ATL Atlanta Hawks #7 East 2-2 .500 1.0 55%118.5 121.0 111.8 +9.2 2-1 (Road) 2-2 L2
WSH Washington Wizards #9 East 2-2 .500 1.0 45%116.7 114.2 114.5 -0.2 1-1 (Home) 2-2 L1

ATL Atlanta Hawks Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Jalen JohnsonJalen Johnson
 F STARTER 76 35.1 22.5 10.2 7.9 48.5% 34.2%
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerNickeil Alexander-Walker
 G STARTER 82 33.2 20.7 3.4 3.7 45.8% 39.9%
Trae YoungTrae Young
 G STARTER 10 27.9 19.3 1.5 8.9 41.5% 30.5%
CJ McCollumCJ McCollum
 G STARTER 45 28.6 18.6 3.0 3.9 46.1% 36.4%
Kristaps PorzingisKristaps Porzingis
 C STARTER 17 24.3 17.1 5.1 2.7 45.7% 36.0%
Aaron WigginsAaron Wiggins
 G ROTATION 4 27.5 15.8 3.2 1.5 53.5% 48.0%
Onyeka OkongwuOnyeka Okongwu
 F STARTER 78 30.8 14.9 7.5 3.1 47.7% 36.8%
Jonathan KumingaJonathan Kuminga
 F ROTATION 16 22.1 12.2 5.3 2.1 47.6% 34.6%

WSH Washington Wizards Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Anthony DavisAnthony Davis
 F STARTER 4 33.2 22.8 9.2 2.0 44.0% 33.3%
CJ McCollumCJ McCollum
 G STARTER 35 30.9 18.8 3.5 3.6 45.4% 39.3%
Trae YoungTrae Young
 G STARTER 9 27.8 18.3 2.9 8.3 48.5% 35.3%
Alex SarrAlex Sarr
 C STARTER 52 27.0 15.7 7.2 2.7 48.3% 32.3%
Kyshawn GeorgeKyshawn George
 F STARTER 52 29.0 15.0 5.1 4.4 44.2% 37.2%
Jaden HardyJaden Hardy
 G ROTATION 23 20.5 12.6 1.7 1.3 44.3% 42.0%
Tre JohnsonTre Johnson
 G STARTER 64 23.9 12.2 2.8 2.0 42.2% 35.7%
Julian ReeseJulian Reese
 F STARTER 13 30.9 11.8 10.5 1.8 52.9% 0.0%