MIL

Milwaukee Bucks

1-3
Sim Win / Proj
26% (114.1)
4:30 PM PT
Implied Edge: Celtics -8.5 · Proj Total: 236.6
Sim Win / Proj
74% (122.5)

Boston Celtics

3-1
BOS

Game Bets & Ledger (MIL @ BOS)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Boston Celtics hold a 74% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Bucks 114.1, Celtics 122.5 (projected combined total of 236.6 points and an implied fair spread of Celtics -8.5). Visiting Milwaukee Bucks (1-3, 116.8 PPG, 122.2 OPPG, -5.5 net diff) enters this matchup led by Giannis Antetokounmpo (27.6 PPG, 9.8 RPG, 5.4 APG), while host Boston Celtics (3-1, 119.8 PPG, 111.8 OPPG, +8.0 net diff) counters with Jaylen Brown (28.7 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 5.1 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-04 (4:30 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
MIL Milwaukee Bucks #12 East 1-3 .250 2.0 26%114.1 116.8 122.2 -5.5 0-2 (Road) 1-3 W1
BOS Boston Celtics #1 East 3-1 .750 - 74%122.5 119.8 111.8 +8.0 3-0 (Home) 3-1 W3

MIL Milwaukee Bucks Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Giannis AntetokounmpoGiannis Antetokounmpo
 F STARTER 36 28.9 27.6 9.8 5.4 62.4% 33.3%
Tyler HerroTyler Herro
 G STARTER 4 31.8 23.5 5.8 5.8 46.6% 43.3%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.Jaime Jaquez Jr.
 F STARTER 4 29.5 17.5 8.0 2.8 53.1% 38.5%
Kevin Porter Jr.Kevin Porter Jr.
 G STARTER 38 33.2 17.4 5.2 7.4 46.5% 32.2%
Ryan RollinsRyan Rollins
 G STARTER 78 31.9 17.1 4.6 5.5 46.8% 40.2%
Cormac RyanCormac Ryan
 G ROTATION 11 24.5 14.3 2.5 1.7 52.0% 45.8%
Bobby PortisBobby Portis
 F ROTATION 67 24.1 13.7 6.4 1.6 48.8% 45.6%
Kel'el WareKel'el Ware
 C ROTATION 4 19.2 13.2 8.5 0.5 56.8% 25.0%

BOS Boston Celtics Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Jaylen BrownJaylen Brown
 G STARTER 71 34.4 28.7 6.9 5.1 47.7% 34.7%
Jayson TatumJayson Tatum
 F STARTER 20 33.4 23.0 9.2 5.8 41.6% 31.4%
Paul GeorgePaul George
 F STARTER 4 31.5 22.2 6.0 3.5 47.0% 43.8%
Payton PritchardPayton Pritchard
 G STARTER 83 32.1 16.8 3.9 5.1 46.4% 38.1%
Derrick WhiteDerrick White
 G STARTER 81 33.9 16.3 4.4 5.4 39.6% 32.6%
Anfernee SimonsAnfernee Simons
 G ROTATION 49 24.5 14.2 2.4 2.4 44.0% 39.5%
Neemias QuetaNeemias Queta
 C STARTER 80 25.1 10.1 8.2 1.6 65.1% 22.2%
Nikola VucevicNikola Vucevic
 C ROTATION 16 21.1 9.7 6.6 2.0 43.9% 34.0%