CHA

Charlotte Hornets

3-1
Sim Win / Proj
47% (108.5)
4:30 PM PT
Implied Edge: Nets -1.1 · Proj Total: 218.2
Sim Win / Proj
53% (109.7)

Brooklyn Nets

0-4
BKN

Game Bets & Ledger (CHA @ BKN)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Brooklyn Nets hold a 53% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Hornets 108.5, Nets 109.7 (projected combined total of 218.2 points and an implied fair spread of Nets -1.1). Visiting Charlotte Hornets (3-1, 104.0 PPG, 111.0 OPPG, -7.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Brandon Miller (20.4 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 3.2 APG), while host Brooklyn Nets (0-4, 114.2 PPG, 124.0 OPPG, -9.8 net diff) counters with Michael Porter Jr. (24.1 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 2.9 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-04 (4:30 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
CHA Charlotte Hornets #4 East 3-1 .750 - 47%108.5 104.0 111.0 -7.0 1-0 (Road) 3-1 W2
BKN Brooklyn Nets #14 East 0-4 .000 3.0 53%109.7 114.2 124.0 -9.8 0-2 (Home) 0-4 L4

CHA Charlotte Hornets Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
F STARTER 69 30.4 20.4 4.9 3.2 43.0% 37.4%
G STARTER 72 28.0 20.1 4.8 7.1 40.7% 36.8%
C STARTER 4 31.0 19.5 9.5 2.5 43.8% 41.2%
G STARTER 81 31.5 18.5 5.3 3.4 47.5% 42.5%
F STARTER 77 31.0 17.1 5.8 3.2 46.0% 33.3%
G ROTATION 4 27.8 16.8 2.5 3.2 48.6% 48.3%
G ROTATION 21 19.3 15.6 3.0 3.0 46.1% 39.1%
G ROTATION 42 22.3 14.2 1.9 3.7 48.8% 39.3%

BKN Brooklyn Nets Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
F STARTER 56 32.5 24.1 7.1 2.9 46.4% 36.6%
F STARTER 4 35.2 22.5 7.5 5.8 49.2% 27.8%
G ROTATION 24 24.3 15.6 1.8 3.1 39.9% 32.5%
F STARTER 70 26.7 11.9 4.1 1.6 39.6% 33.2%
C STARTER 69 27.8 11.7 6.9 3.7 57.1% 15.8%
F ROTATION 18 18.8 10.6 2.8 0.8 47.7% 37.5%
G ROTATION 3 22.7 10.3 3.3 4.3 28.6% 35.0%
C ROTATION 4 16.8 10.2 2.8 1.5 50.0% 60.0%