Utah Jazz
1-3New Orleans Pelicans
0-3Game Bets & Ledger (UTAH @ NO)
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Team Standings & Season Profile
Full NBA Standings →Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the New Orleans Pelicans hold a 63% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Jazz 116.4, Pelicans 121.1 (projected combined total of 237.5 points and an implied fair spread of Pelicans -4.6). Visiting Utah Jazz (1-3, 112.8 PPG, 121.0 OPPG, -8.2 net diff) enters this matchup led by Lauri Markkanen (25.8 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 2.1 APG), while host New Orleans Pelicans (0-3, 124.7 PPG, 128.0 OPPG, -3.3 net diff) counters with Trey Murphy III (21.2 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 3.7 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-04 (5:00 PM PT).
| Team | Conf Rank | Record | Win% | GB | Win Prob | Proj Score | PPG | OPPG | Net Diff | Home / Road | L10 | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH Utah Jazz | #13 West | 1-3 | .250 | 3.0 | 37% | 116.4 | 112.8 | 121.0 | -8.2 | 0-1 (Road) | 1-3 | L2 |
| NO New Orleans Pelicans | #14 West | 0-3 | .000 | 3.5 | 63% | 121.1 | 124.7 | 128.0 | -3.3 | 0-1 (Home) | 0-3 | L3 |
UTAH Utah Jazz Projected Rotation & Season Averages
| Player | POS | ROLE | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | STARTER | 46 | 33.9 | 25.8 | 6.7 | 2.1 | 47.3% | 35.5% | |
| G | STARTER | 58 | 33.0 | 23.6 | 3.7 | 6.3 | 46.1% | 37.3% | |
| F | STARTER | 7 | 25.1 | 18.9 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 49.5% | 34.5% | |
| G | ROTATION | 11 | 32.2 | 15.0 | 3.4 | 6.7 | 44.5% | 39.5% | |
| F | ROTATION | 78 | 23.3 | 14.7 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 46.0% | 36.8% | |
| C | STARTER | 5 | 31.0 | 14.4 | 10.8 | 3.0 | 70.3% | 75.0% | |
| G | STARTER | 76 | 27.5 | 13.8 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 44.6% | 34.5% | |
| F | ROTATION | 14 | 20.4 | 11.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 51.3% | 46.8% |
NO New Orleans Pelicans Projected Rotation & Season Averages
| Player | POS | ROLE | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | STARTER | 69 | 35.4 | 21.2 | 5.7 | 3.7 | 47.1% | 38.0% | |
| F | STARTER | 65 | 29.8 | 21.0 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 59.8% | 30.0% | |
| G | STARTER | 75 | 30.9 | 17.6 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 45.2% | 36.9% | |
| G | STARTER | 17 | 28.8 | 17.4 | 5.3 | 6.4 | 48.5% | 29.3% | |
| G | STARTER | 85 | 25.6 | 14.0 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 43.0% | 32.5% | |
| G | ROTATION | 42 | 23.6 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 36.4% | 32.9% | |
| C | STARTER | 84 | 25.0 | 11.8 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 47.5% | 26.4% | |
| F | STARTER | 59 | 27.8 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 38.4% | 31.1% |
