POR

Portland Trail Blazers

3-0
Sim Win / Proj
85% (125.5)
6:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Trail Blazers -12.4 · Proj Total: 238.6
Sim Win / Proj
15% (113.1)

Phoenix Suns

1-2
PHX

Game Bets & Ledger (POR @ PHX)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Portland Trail Blazers hold a 85% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Trail Blazers 125.5, Suns 113.1 (projected combined total of 238.6 points and an implied fair spread of Trail Blazers -12.4). Visiting Portland Trail Blazers (3-0, 129.3 PPG, 110.7 OPPG, +18.7 net diff) enters this matchup led by Deni Avdija (24.1 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 6.7 APG), while host Phoenix Suns (1-2, 109.3 PPG, 123.7 OPPG, -14.3 net diff) counters with Devin Booker (25.9 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 6.0 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-04 (6:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
POR Portland Trail Blazers #4 West 3-0 1.000 0.5 85%125.5 129.3 110.7 +18.7 2-0 (Road) 3-0 W3
PHX Phoenix Suns #11 West 1-2 .333 2.5 15%113.1 109.3 123.7 -14.3 1-0 (Home) 1-2 L1

POR Portland Trail Blazers Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Deni AvdijaDeni Avdija
 F STARTER 69 33.3 24.1 6.9 6.7 46.4% 32.3%
Damian LillardDamian Lillard
 G STARTER 3 29.3 21.7 4.3 4.0 45.2% 42.9%
Shaedon SharpeShaedon Sharpe
 G STARTER 50 29.4 20.8 4.3 2.6 45.2% 33.7%
Jerami GrantJerami Grant
 F STARTER 57 29.8 18.6 3.5 2.1 45.3% 38.9%
Ja MorantJa Morant
 G STARTER 3 27.0 16.3 2.7 6.3 58.8% 44.4%
Jrue HolidayJrue Holiday
 G STARTER 56 29.2 16.2 4.5 6.0 45.3% 37.4%
Scoot HendersonScoot Henderson
 G ROTATION 33 24.4 13.6 2.6 3.6 41.3% 33.3%
Toumani CamaraToumani Camara
 F STARTER 85 33.0 13.5 5.0 2.4 44.6% 37.8%

PHX Phoenix Suns Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Devin BookerDevin Booker
 G STARTER 67 33.5 25.9 3.9 6.0 45.9% 32.7%
Dillon BrooksDillon Brooks
 F STARTER 59 30.4 19.9 3.6 1.8 43.3% 34.4%
Jalen GreenJalen Green
 G STARTER 35 26.0 17.4 3.5 2.8 42.6% 31.4%
Grayson AllenGrayson Allen
 G STARTER 51 28.8 16.5 3.0 3.8 40.3% 34.9%
Miles BridgesMiles Bridges
 F STARTER 3 31.3 13.7 6.3 2.3 41.0% 20.0%
Collin GillespieCollin Gillespie
 G STARTER 83 28.3 12.4 4.0 4.6 41.5% 39.6%
Mark WilliamsMark Williams
 C STARTER 60 23.6 11.7 8.0 1.0 64.4% 100.0%
Luke KennardLuke Kennard
 G ROTATION 2 17.0 10.0 2.5 1.5 63.6% 60.0%