PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

4-1
Sim Win / Proj
46% (113.7)
4:30 PM PT
Implied Edge: Cavaliers -1.3 · Proj Total: 228.8
Sim Win / Proj
54% (115.1)

Cleveland Cavaliers

3-2
CLE

Game Bets & Ledger (PHI @ CLE)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Cleveland Cavaliers hold a 54% pregame win probability with a projected final score of 76ers 113.7, Cavaliers 115.1 (projected combined total of 228.8 points and an implied fair spread of Cavaliers -1.3). Visiting Philadelphia 76ers (4-1, 110.8 PPG, 107.4 OPPG, +3.4 net diff) enters this matchup led by Tyrese Maxey (28.3 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 6.5 APG), while host Cleveland Cavaliers (3-2, 118.0 PPG, 117.0 OPPG, +1.0 net diff) counters with Donovan Mitchell (27.6 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 5.6 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-11-06 (4:30 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
PHI Philadelphia 76ers #2 East 4-1 .800 - 46%113.7 110.8 107.4 +3.4 2-0 (Road) 4-1 W1
CLE Cleveland Cavaliers #5 East 3-2 .600 1.0 54%115.1 118.0 117.0 +1.0 3-0 (Home) 3-2 L1

PHI Philadelphia 76ers Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Tyrese MaxeyTyrese Maxey
 G STARTER 75 38.0 28.3 4.1 6.5 46.2% 36.5%
Joel EmbiidJoel Embiid
 C STARTER 42 31.9 26.4 7.9 4.0 48.4% 31.8%
Jaylen BrownJaylen Brown
 G STARTER 5 36.4 20.6 6.6 4.2 44.2% 40.9%
Paul GeorgePaul George
 F STARTER 37 30.6 17.3 5.3 3.6 43.9% 39.2%
VJ EdgecombeVJ Edgecombe
 G STARTER 79 34.8 15.7 5.7 4.1 43.5% 35.1%
LeBron JamesLeBron James
 F STARTER 4 33.2 15.5 6.5 6.8 42.6% 23.1%
Kelly Oubre Jr.Kelly Oubre Jr.
 G STARTER 50 31.5 14.1 5.0 1.6 46.7% 36.0%
Quentin GrimesQuentin Grimes
 G ROTATION 75 29.5 13.4 3.6 3.3 45.0% 33.4%

CLE Cleveland Cavaliers Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Donovan MitchellDonovan Mitchell
 G STARTER 75 33.5 27.6 4.6 5.6 48.3% 36.4%
James HardenJames Harden
 G STARTER 31 34.0 20.1 4.7 7.4 45.0% 41.5%
Evan MobleyEvan Mobley
 C STARTER 70 32.2 18.1 9.0 3.6 54.6% 31.9%
Darius GarlandDarius Garland
 G STARTER 26 30.4 18.0 2.4 6.9 45.1% 36.0%
Jarrett AllenJarrett Allen
 C STARTER 61 27.3 15.2 8.5 1.7 63.7% 25.0%
De'Andre HunterDe'Andre Hunter
 F STARTER 43 26.2 14.0 4.2 2.1 42.3% 30.8%
Meleek ThomasMeleek Thomas
 G ROTATION 2 19.5 13.0 3.0 0.5 58.8% 66.7%
Jaylon TysonJaylon Tyson
 G STARTER 71 26.5 12.8 5.0 2.3 48.8% 43.1%