CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

0-0
Sim Win / Proj
34% (109.2)
4:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Hawks -5.5 · Proj Total: 224.0
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Sim Win / Proj
66% (114.8)

Atlanta Hawks

1-0
ATL

Game Bets & Ledger (CLE @ ATL)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Atlanta Hawks hold a 66% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Cavaliers 109.2, Hawks 114.8 (projected combined total of 224.0 points and an implied fair spread of Hawks -5.5). Visiting Cleveland Cavaliers (0-0, 0.0 PPG, 0.0 OPPG, 0.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Donovan Mitchell (27.9 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 5.7 APG), while host Atlanta Hawks (1-0, 132.0 PPG, 125.0 OPPG, +7.0 net diff) counters with Jalen Johnson (22.5 PPG, 10.3 RPG, 7.8 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-10-29 (4:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
CLE Cleveland Cavaliers - 0-0 .000 - 34%109.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0-0 (Road) 0-0 -
ATL Atlanta Hawks #4 East 1-0 1.000 - 66%114.8 132.0 125.0 +7.0 0-0 (Home) 1-0 W1

CLE Cleveland Cavaliers Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Donovan MitchellDonovan Mitchell
 G STARTER 70 33.4 27.9 4.5 5.7 48.3% 36.4%
James HardenJames Harden
 G STARTER 26 33.8 20.5 4.8 7.7 46.6% 43.5%
Evan MobleyEvan Mobley
 C STARTER 65 32.0 18.2 9.0 3.6 54.6% 29.7%
Darius GarlandDarius Garland
 G STARTER 26 30.4 18.0 2.4 6.9 45.1% 36.0%
Jarrett AllenJarrett Allen
 C STARTER 56 27.2 15.4 8.5 1.8 63.8% 10.0%
De'Andre HunterDe'Andre Hunter
 F STARTER 43 26.2 14.0 4.2 2.1 42.3% 30.8%
Jaylon TysonJaylon Tyson
 G STARTER 66 27.0 13.2 5.1 2.2 49.3% 44.6%
Sam MerrillSam Merrill
 G STARTER 52 26.5 12.8 2.6 2.4 46.1% 42.1%

ATL Atlanta Hawks Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Jalen JohnsonJalen Johnson
 F STARTER 73 35.1 22.5 10.3 7.8 48.7% 34.8%
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerNickeil Alexander-Walker
 G STARTER 79 33.3 20.9 3.4 3.7 46.0% 40.2%
Trae YoungTrae Young
 G STARTER 10 27.9 19.3 1.5 8.9 41.5% 30.5%
CJ McCollumCJ McCollum
 G STARTER 42 28.7 18.7 3.1 4.0 46.1% 36.4%
Kristaps PorzingisKristaps Porzingis
 C STARTER 17 24.3 17.1 5.1 2.7 45.7% 36.0%
Aaron WigginsAaron Wiggins
 G ROTATION 1 32.0 16.0 3.0 0.0 55.6% 60.0%
Onyeka OkongwuOnyeka Okongwu
 F STARTER 75 31.1 15.1 7.6 3.2 47.9% 37.2%
Jonathan KumingaJonathan Kuminga
 F ROTATION 16 22.1 12.2 5.3 2.1 47.6% 34.6%