CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

0-1
Sim Win / Proj
45% (112.4)
5:00 PM PT
Implied Edge: Bucks -1.7 · Proj Total: 226.5
Sim Win / Proj
55% (114.1)

Milwaukee Bucks

0-2
MIL

Game Bets & Ledger (CLE @ MIL)

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Team Standings & Season Profile

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Across 500,000 GPU Monte Carlo simulations, the Milwaukee Bucks hold a 55% pregame win probability with a projected final score of Cavaliers 112.4, Bucks 114.1 (projected combined total of 226.5 points and an implied fair spread of Bucks -1.7). Visiting Cleveland Cavaliers (0-1, 106.0 PPG, 114.0 OPPG, -8.0 net diff) enters this matchup led by Donovan Mitchell (27.9 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 5.6 APG), while host Milwaukee Bucks (0-2, 120.5 PPG, 130.0 OPPG, -9.5 net diff) counters with Tyler Herro (29.0 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 6.5 APG). The simulation model weights 97,326 historical NBA box-score rows, starter vs. bench rotation stints, pace-adjusted possession efficiency, and foul-trouble tail risk ahead of tip-off on 2026-10-31 (5:00 PM PT).

Team Conf Rank Record Win% GB Win ProbProj Score PPG OPPG Net Diff Home / Road L10 Streak
CLE Cleveland Cavaliers #13 East 0-1 .000 1.5 45%112.4 106.0 114.0 -8.0 0-1 (Road) 0-1 L1
MIL Milwaukee Bucks #14 East 0-2 .000 2.0 55%114.1 120.5 130.0 -9.5 0-1 (Home) 0-2 L2

CLE Cleveland Cavaliers Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Donovan MitchellDonovan Mitchell
 G STARTER 71 33.5 27.9 4.6 5.6 48.5% 36.5%
James HardenJames Harden
 G STARTER 27 33.8 20.4 4.7 7.6 46.4% 43.7%
Evan MobleyEvan Mobley
 C STARTER 66 32.0 18.2 9.0 3.6 54.6% 29.6%
Darius GarlandDarius Garland
 G STARTER 26 30.4 18.0 2.4 6.9 45.1% 36.0%
Jarrett AllenJarrett Allen
 C STARTER 57 27.2 15.3 8.5 1.8 63.8% 10.0%
De'Andre HunterDe'Andre Hunter
 F STARTER 43 26.2 14.0 4.2 2.1 42.3% 30.8%
Jaylon TysonJaylon Tyson
 G STARTER 67 26.9 13.1 5.1 2.2 49.0% 44.0%
Sam MerrillSam Merrill
 G STARTER 53 26.4 12.6 2.6 2.4 46.0% 42.1%

MIL Milwaukee Bucks Projected Rotation & Season Averages

Player POS ROLE GP MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3P%
Tyler HerroTyler Herro
 G STARTER 2 32.0 29.0 3.5 6.5 46.7% 42.9%
Giannis AntetokounmpoGiannis Antetokounmpo
 F STARTER 36 28.9 27.6 9.8 5.4 62.4% 33.3%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.Jaime Jaquez Jr.
 F STARTER 2 33.0 20.5 9.0 3.5 65.2% 50.0%
Kevin Porter Jr.Kevin Porter Jr.
 G STARTER 38 33.2 17.4 5.2 7.4 46.5% 32.2%
Ryan RollinsRyan Rollins
 G STARTER 76 32.0 17.1 4.6 5.6 46.8% 40.1%
Cormac RyanCormac Ryan
 G ROTATION 11 24.5 14.3 2.5 1.7 52.0% 45.8%
Bobby PortisBobby Portis
 F ROTATION 67 24.1 13.7 6.4 1.6 48.8% 45.6%
Kyle KuzmaKyle Kuzma
 F STARTER 71 26.3 12.9 4.6 2.7 48.9% 34.7%