NBA Player Prop Hit-Rate & Usage Surge Board (2025-26 Regular Season)
Pts + Reb + Ast Over (PRA) · L5 & L10 Over Hit Frequency vs Baseline Half-Point Line · Next-Man-Up Rotation Surge Radar
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ACTIVE MARKET
Pts + Reb + Ast Over (PRA)
Half-point floor baseline
80%+ L10 HIT RATE
129 Props
8/10 or better over rate
ACTIVE 4+ GAME STREAKS
41 Streaks
Consecutive games over line
ROTATION & USAGE SURGES
83 Players
390 qualified rotation players
STARTER PROMOTION
MEM
Rayan Rupert
Memphis Grizzlies · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
35.2 +18.5
Szn 16.8 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
30.4 +21.2
Szn 9.2 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O9.5 L5 Surge
L5 17.6 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
NO
Jeremiah Fears
New Orleans Pelicans · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
39.4 +13.7
Szn 25.7 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
43.6 +22.3
Szn 21.3 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PTS O14.5 70% (7/10)
L5 31.8 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
CHI
Leonard Miller
Chicago Bulls · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
34.2 +18.5
Szn 15.7 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
28.6 +15.9
Szn 12.7 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O12.5 L5 Surge
L5 17.6 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
NO
Micah Peavy
New Orleans Pelicans · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
34.8 +19.8
Szn 15.0 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
16.4 +9.2
Szn 7.2 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O7.5 L5 Surge
L5 10.8 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
MIL
Ousmane Dieng
Milwaukee Bucks · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
33.6 +14.2
Szn 19.4 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
26.8 +13.7
Szn 13.1 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O13.5 L5 Surge
L5 13.4 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
SAC
Nique Clifford
Sacramento Kings · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
38.0 +12.9
Szn 25.1 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
30.0 +15.3
Szn 14.7 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O14.5 L5 Surge
L5 19.4 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
BKN
Tyson Etienne
Brooklyn Nets · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
31.4 +15.6
Szn 15.8 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
21.4 +10.7
Szn 10.7 PRA
TOP PROP L10
3PM O1.5 60% (6/10)
L5 15.0 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
MIL
Jericho Sims
Milwaukee Bucks · C
L5 MIN (Δ)
32.6 +12.6
Szn 20.0 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
25.2 +13.0
Szn 12.2 PRA
TOP PROP L10
REB O5.5 70% (7/10)
L5 12.2 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
UTAH
Cody Williams
Utah Jazz · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
36.2 +11.9
Szn 24.3 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
26.4 +12.6
Szn 13.8 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O13.5 L5 Surge
L5 16.4 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
CHI
Rob Dillingham
Chicago Bulls · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
26.2 +11.3
Szn 14.9 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
23.4 +12.9
Szn 10.5 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O10.5 L5 Surge
L5 15.8 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
SAC
Devin Carter
Sacramento Kings · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
31.6 +13.2
Szn 18.4 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
25.4 +10.5
Szn 14.9 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O14.5 L5 Surge
L5 14.6 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
BKN
Jalen Wilson
Brooklyn Nets · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
28.4 +12.5
Szn 15.9 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
20.6 +11.2
Szn 9.4 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O9.5 L5 Surge
L5 11.8 PPG
| # | Player | Team | Prop Line | GPU Sim Proj | Live EV% | L10 Hit% | L5 Hit% | Szn Hit% | Streak | Szn Avg | L10 Avg | L5 Avg | L10 vs Line | Last 5 Games (Most Recent First) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NO | O 21.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 45% (37/82) | 6G OVER | 21.3 | 32.4 | 43.6 | +10.9 |
51
45
51
29
42
|
|
| 2 | SAC | O 21.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 47% (35/74) | 5G OVER | 21.3 | 27.0 | 32.4 | +5.5 |
32
36
25
28
41
|
|
| 3 | MIN | O 21.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 59% (43/73) | 7G OVER | 21.8 | 21.4 | 25.4 | -0.1 |
25
22
27
28
25
|
|
| 4 | MEM | O 18.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 54% (29/54) | 4G OVER | 18.6 | 24.0 | 23.8 | +5.5 |
19
36
27
20
17
|
|
| 5 | UTAH | O 20.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 47% (35/74) | - | 20.1 | 31.0 | 30.4 | +10.5 |
18
25
43
28
38
|
|
| 6 | IND | O 19.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 46% (35/76) | 3G OVER | 19.3 | 23.7 | 21.6 | +4.2 |
23
31
22
7
25
|
|
| 7 | CHI | O 21.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 54% (37/68) | 1G OVER | 21.0 | 26.2 | 26.4 | +4.7 |
23
18
32
31
28
|
|
| 8 | ATL | O 24.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 55% (42/76) | 3G OVER | 24.6 | 27.9 | 27.8 | +3.4 |
35
25
26
21
32
|
|
| 9 | SA | O 19.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 48% (40/83) | 4G OVER | 19.7 | 21.3 | 22.8 | +1.8 |
25
25
29
23
12
|
|
| 10 | SA | O 29.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 49% (34/69) | 3G OVER | 29.4 | 32.4 | 33.6 | +2.9 |
30
42
34
29
33
|
|
| 11 | UTAH | O 21.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 42% (32/77) | - | 21.2 | 30.2 | 32.2 | +8.7 |
20
40
26
40
35
|
|
| 12 | CHI | O 22.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 48% (31/65) | - | 22.6 | 29.2 | 30.2 | +6.7 |
11
31
40
31
38
|
|
| 13 | DAL | O 34.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 70% (14/20) | 3G OVER | 34.2 | 35.4 | 28.6 | +0.9 |
36
37
41
23
6
|
|
| 14 | UTAH | O 27.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 46% (22/48) | 4G OVER | 27.0 | 30.0 | 30.6 | +2.5 |
29
30
29
38
27
|
|
| 15 | ATL | O 27.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 45% (35/78) | - | 27.9 | 31.5 | 31.4 | +4.0 |
20
31
41
28
37
|
|
| 16 | MIN | O 21.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 60% (3/5) | 51% (35/69) | - | 21.9 | 29.7 | 24.4 | +8.2 |
19
30
18
27
28
|
|
| 17 | UTAH | O 19.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 60% (3/5) | 51% (37/72) | - | 19.8 | 25.7 | 23.6 | +6.2 |
19
35
20
29
15
|
|
| 18 | MIL | O 27.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 49% (36/74) | 3G OVER | 27.5 | 30.8 | 32.6 | +3.3 |
31
31
40
17
44
|
|
| 19 | PHX | O 35.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 53% (34/64) | 3G OVER | 36.0 | 38.0 | 41.6 | +2.5 |
51
43
37
33
44
|
|
| 20 | SA | O 39.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 48% (31/65) | 1G OVER | 39.4 | 47.0 | 52.6 | +7.5 |
58
23
59
62
61
|
|
| 21 | PHI | O 25.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 51% (38/75) | 3G OVER | 25.8 | 26.5 | 28.4 | +1.0 |
27
30
34
25
26
|
|
| 22 | GS | O 22.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 60% (3/5) | 54% (44/82) | - | 22.6 | 27.6 | 23.2 | +5.1 |
16
34
19
24
23
|
|
| 23 | UTAH | O 21.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 42% (25/59) | 3G OVER | 21.4 | 25.0 | 27.6 | +3.5 |
23
29
29
16
41
|
|
| 24 | BOS | O 37.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 50% (8/16) | 1G OVER | 37.1 | 39.4 | 43.4 | +1.9 |
45
32
43
43
54
|
|
| 25 | DET | O 32.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (35/70) | 2G OVER | 32.0 | 35.8 | 32.6 | +3.3 |
33
33
31
26
40
|
|
| 26 | WSH | O 18.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 49% (40/82) | 2G OVER | 18.7 | 21.9 | 25.4 | +3.4 |
31
36
16
25
19
|
|
| 27 | TOR | O 27.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 54% (31/57) | 2G OVER | 27.8 | 28.7 | 28.8 | +1.2 |
31
31
26
24
32
|
|
| 28 | LAC | O 19.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 54% (37/69) | 1G OVER | 19.9 | 19.4 | 20.8 | -0.1 |
27
2
24
20
31
|
|
| 29 | DAL | O 19.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) | 58% (38/66) | 4G OVER | 19.8 | 19.8 | 23.2 | +0.3 |
20
30
22
28
16
|
|
| 30 | NY | O 34.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 55% (42/76) | 1G OVER | 34.8 | 35.9 | 36.6 | +1.4 |
37
32
39
42
33
|
|
| 31 | ATL | O 25.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 53% (40/76) | 1G OVER | 25.9 | 27.1 | 26.0 | +1.6 |
37
20
26
34
13
|
|
| 32 | MIA | O 33.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 40% (29/73) | 3G OVER | 33.3 | 35.2 | 33.8 | +1.7 |
38
39
43
19
30
|
|
| 33 | POR | O 37.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) | 50% (33/66) | 3G OVER | 37.8 | 37.2 | 40.8 | -0.3 |
41
44
41
37
41
|
|
| 34 | HOU | O 36.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (39/78) | 2G OVER | 36.2 | 38.8 | 40.4 | +2.3 |
47
41
31
47
36
|
|
| 35 | PHI | O 38.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (19/38) | 2G OVER | 38.5 | 41.2 | 41.4 | +2.7 |
47
39
36
37
48
|
|
| 36 | POR | O 27.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 43% (23/53) | 1G OVER | 27.0 | 28.5 | 31.0 | +1.0 |
33
16
29
36
41
|
|
| 37 | DAL | O 23.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 43% (32/74) | - | 23.2 | 26.1 | 20.6 | +2.6 |
8
26
15
25
29
|
|
| 38 | DET | O 20.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 40% (2/5) | 57% (36/63) | 1G OVER | 20.9 | 22.0 | 17.8 | +1.5 |
29
14
18
25
3
|
|
| 39 | SA | O 19.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (35/70) | - | 19.2 | 20.7 | 20.2 | +1.2 |
13
23
23
24
18
|
|
| 40 | WSH | O 18.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 40% (2/5) | 48% (27/56) | 2G OVER | 18.7 | 22.7 | 20.0 | +4.2 |
35
23
17
14
11
|
|
| 41 | MIL | O 18.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) | 45% (5/11) | 2G OVER | 18.5 | 19.8 | 27.4 | +1.3 |
36
36
16
21
28
|
|
| 42 | NO | O 22.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 41% (33/81) | 3G OVER | 22.4 | 25.5 | 31.0 | +3.0 |
56
40
36
7
16
|
|
| 43 | CHI | O 24.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 49% (38/77) | 1G OVER | 24.1 | 26.1 | 27.2 | +1.6 |
25
17
32
20
42
|
|
| 44 | MIL | O 29.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 40% (2/5) | 58% (22/38) | 2G OVER | 30.0 | 29.5 | 24.4 | +0.0 |
38
32
18
14
20
|
|
| 45 | SA | O 20.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 49% (33/68) | 1G OVER | 20.4 | 20.6 | 19.8 | +0.1 |
25
9
23
17
25
|
|
| 46 | POR | O 21.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (41/82) | - | 21.0 | 24.7 | 24.2 | +3.2 |
21
9
28
35
28
|
|
| 47 | PHX | O 24.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 40% (2/5) | 56% (18/32) | - | 24.2 | 26.0 | 20.0 | +1.5 |
1
19
33
36
11
|
|
| 48 | LAL | O 49.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 55% (35/64) | - | 49.5 | 51.0 | 47.0 | +1.5 |
23
59
52
56
45
|
|
| 49 | SAC | O 27.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (32/64) | - | 27.3 | 29.3 | 30.0 | +1.8 |
22
16
34
32
46
|
|
| 50 | MIA | O 25.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 43% (32/75) | 2G OVER | 25.1 | 27.1 | 28.8 | +1.6 |
32
35
21
17
39
|
|
| 51 | MEM | O 30.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (10/20) | 2G OVER | 30.8 | 30.6 | 36.4 | +0.1 |
37
42
30
45
28
|
|
| 52 | BOS | O 20.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 39% (30/76) | - | 20.2 | 23.3 | 24.2 | +2.8 |
19
22
20
29
31
|
|
| 53 | MIA | O 20.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 49% (38/77) | 2G OVER | 20.8 | 20.3 | 23.8 | -0.2 |
24
23
12
15
45
|
|
| 54 | CHA | O 32.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) | 44% (32/72) | - | 32.0 | 34.6 | 39.6 | +2.1 |
32
40
47
46
33
|
|
| 55 | MEM | O 23.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 49% (21/43) | - | 23.6 | 22.5 | 22.2 | -1.0 |
18
26
17
24
26
|
|
| 56 | ORL | O 35.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 56% (40/72) | 1G OVER | 35.8 | 33.5 | 38.4 | -2.0 |
44
30
34
39
45
|
|
| 57 | BOS | O 40.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 40% (2/5) | 56% (40/71) | - | 40.8 | 41.5 | 39.0 | +1.0 |
27
47
35
33
53
|
|
| 58 | PHI | O 26.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 40% (2/5) | 43% (16/37) | - | 26.2 | 30.0 | 22.2 | +3.5 |
18
28
12
24
29
|
|
| 59 | DAL | O 22.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 40% (2/5) | 54% (30/56) | - | 22.9 | 23.6 | 21.4 | +1.1 |
21
10
35
14
27
|
|
| 60 | POR | O 20.5 PRA | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 43% (13/30) | 1G OVER | 20.6 | 21.6 | 20.2 | +1.1 |
21
13
25
24
18
|
