NBA Player Prop Hit-Rate & Usage Surge Board (2025-26 Regular Season)
3-Pointers Made Over (3PM) · L5 & L10 Over Hit Frequency vs Baseline Half-Point Line · Next-Man-Up Rotation Surge Radar
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ACTIVE MARKET
3-Pointers Made Over (3PM)
Half-point floor baseline
80%+ L10 HIT RATE
129 Props
8/10 or better over rate
ACTIVE 4+ GAME STREAKS
41 Streaks
Consecutive games over line
ROTATION & USAGE SURGES
83 Players
390 qualified rotation players
STARTER PROMOTION
MEM
Rayan Rupert
Memphis Grizzlies · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
35.2 +18.5
Szn 16.8 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
30.4 +21.2
Szn 9.2 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O9.5 L5 Surge
L5 17.6 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
NO
Jeremiah Fears
New Orleans Pelicans · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
39.4 +13.7
Szn 25.7 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
43.6 +22.3
Szn 21.3 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PTS O14.5 70% (7/10)
L5 31.8 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
CHI
Leonard Miller
Chicago Bulls · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
34.2 +18.5
Szn 15.7 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
28.6 +15.9
Szn 12.7 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O12.5 L5 Surge
L5 17.6 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
NO
Micah Peavy
New Orleans Pelicans · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
34.8 +19.8
Szn 15.0 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
16.4 +9.2
Szn 7.2 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O7.5 L5 Surge
L5 10.8 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
MIL
Ousmane Dieng
Milwaukee Bucks · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
33.6 +14.2
Szn 19.4 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
26.8 +13.7
Szn 13.1 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O13.5 L5 Surge
L5 13.4 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
SAC
Nique Clifford
Sacramento Kings · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
38.0 +12.9
Szn 25.1 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
30.0 +15.3
Szn 14.7 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O14.5 L5 Surge
L5 19.4 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
BKN
Tyson Etienne
Brooklyn Nets · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
31.4 +15.6
Szn 15.8 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
21.4 +10.7
Szn 10.7 PRA
TOP PROP L10
3PM O1.5 60% (6/10)
L5 15.0 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
MIL
Jericho Sims
Milwaukee Bucks · C
L5 MIN (Δ)
32.6 +12.6
Szn 20.0 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
25.2 +13.0
Szn 12.2 PRA
TOP PROP L10
REB O5.5 70% (7/10)
L5 12.2 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
UTAH
Cody Williams
Utah Jazz · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
36.2 +11.9
Szn 24.3 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
26.4 +12.6
Szn 13.8 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O13.5 L5 Surge
L5 16.4 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
CHI
Rob Dillingham
Chicago Bulls · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
26.2 +11.3
Szn 14.9 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
23.4 +12.9
Szn 10.5 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O10.5 L5 Surge
L5 15.8 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
SAC
Devin Carter
Sacramento Kings · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
31.6 +13.2
Szn 18.4 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
25.4 +10.5
Szn 14.9 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O14.5 L5 Surge
L5 14.6 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
BKN
Jalen Wilson
Brooklyn Nets · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
28.4 +12.5
Szn 15.9 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
20.6 +11.2
Szn 9.4 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O9.5 L5 Surge
L5 11.8 PPG
| # | Player | Team | Prop Line | GPU Sim Proj | Live EV% | L10 Hit% | L5 Hit% | Szn Hit% | Streak | Szn Avg | L10 Avg | L5 Avg | L10 vs Line | Last 5 Games (Most Recent First) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHX | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 55% (35/64) | 6G OVER | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.4 | +0.8 |
2
2
3
3
2
|
|
| 2 | MEM | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 100% (5/5) | 50% (20/40) | 5G OVER | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | +0.7 |
2
2
2
2
2
|
|
| 3 | MIL | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 38% (10/26) | 6G OVER | 2.3 | 3.7 | 4.6 | +1.2 |
3
6
5
4
5
|
|
| 4 | TOR | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 40% (29/72) | 5G OVER | 1.5 | 2.6 | 3.2 | +1.1 |
3
4
2
3
4
|
|
| 5 | UTAH | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 60% (30/50) | 4G OVER | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.4 | +1.5 |
5
4
4
4
0
|
|
| 6 | MIL | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 55% (43/78) | 4G OVER | 3.0 | 4.6 | 5.6 | +2.1 |
5
11
4
6
2
|
|
| 7 | GS | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 56% (46/82) | 2G OVER | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | +1.1 |
2
3
1
4
2
|
|
| 8 | MIN | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 44% (31/70) | 4G OVER | 1.7 | 2.8 | 3.4 | +1.3 |
3
4
5
5
0
|
|
| 9 | CHA | O 3.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 54% (39/72) | 5G OVER | 3.8 | 4.6 | 5.8 | +1.1 |
5
6
6
7
5
|
|
| 10 | MIL | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 64% (7/11) | 5G OVER | 2.5 | 2.6 | 3.4 | +0.1 |
3
5
3
3
3
|
|
| 11 | PHX | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 49% (34/70) | 3G OVER | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | +0.7 |
3
3
2
1
2
|
|
| 12 | NO | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 43% (31/72) | 1G OVER | 2.1 | 3.3 | 2.8 | +0.8 |
3
1
3
4
3
|
|
| 13 | SAC | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 59% (19/32) | - | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.4 | +1.3 |
1
3
3
3
2
|
|
| 14 | WSH | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 60% (3/5) | 49% (28/57) | 1G OVER | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.2 | +1.7 |
2
1
5
1
2
|
|
| 15 | POR | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 51% (42/82) | 1G OVER | 2.7 | 4.2 | 4.4 | +1.7 |
3
1
4
8
6
|
|
| 16 | BOS | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 59% (42/71) | 2G OVER | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.4 | +0.6 |
2
3
1
2
4
|
|
| 17 | GS | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 47% (28/60) | 1G OVER | 2.5 | 3.3 | 3.4 | +0.8 |
4
2
4
3
4
|
|
| 18 | BOS | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 49% (39/79) | 3G OVER | 2.7 | 3.5 | 3.0 | +1.0 |
5
3
4
1
2
|
|
| 19 | POR | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 53% (16/30) | 1G OVER | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.4 | +0.8 |
2
1
3
4
2
|
|
| 20 | OKC | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 52% (36/69) | 1G OVER | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 | +0.6 |
2
1
2
2
3
|
|
| 21 | MEM | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 60% (3/5) | 61% (42/69) | - | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.4 | +0.7 |
0
3
0
2
2
|
|
| 22 | MEM | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 50% (6/12) | 3G OVER | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | +0.5 |
2
3
3
1
2
|
|
| 23 | PHI | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 60% (3/5) | 49% (18/37) | - | 2.7 | 3.4 | 2.2 | +0.9 |
1
3
0
4
3
|
|
| 24 | BKN | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (12/24) | 3G OVER | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.6 | +1.1 |
2
6
3
1
1
|
|
| 25 | MEM | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 53% (8/15) | 1G OVER | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.4 | +0.6 |
3
2
5
3
4
|
|
| 26 | NY | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 57% (47/82) | 2G OVER | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | +0.3 |
2
2
0
0
3
|
|
| 27 | DET | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 61% (47/77) | - | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.8 | +0.7 |
1
3
4
3
3
|
|
| 28 | UTAH | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 60% (29/48) | - | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | +0.5 |
1
2
2
3
2
|
|
| 29 | IND | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 60% (34/57) | 3G OVER | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 | -0.1 |
2
2
2
1
2
|
|
| 30 | LAL | O 3.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 56% (36/64) | - | 4.0 | 4.6 | 3.8 | +1.1 |
1
6
5
4
3
|
|
| 31 | MIN | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 65% (53/82) | - | 3.0 | 3.2 | 2.6 | +0.7 |
1
3
4
3
2
|
|
| 32 | IND | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 40% (2/5) | 53% (40/76) | 1G OVER | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.2 | +0.9 |
4
1
1
1
4
|
|
| 33 | WSH | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 33% (27/82) | 3G OVER | 2.1 | 2.9 | 3.4 | +0.4 |
4
6
4
2
1
|
|
| 34 | NY | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 41% (28/68) | - | 2.4 | 3.3 | 3.6 | +0.8 |
0
3
4
7
4
|
|
| 35 | OKC | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) | 50% (34/68) | 3G OVER | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.8 | +0.0 |
2
2
2
1
2
|
|
| 36 | ORL | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) | 39% (22/57) | 3G OVER | 2.1 | 2.8 | 3.8 | +0.3 |
7
4
3
2
3
|
|
| 37 | MEM | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 48% (30/62) | 3G OVER | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | +0.0 |
3
2
2
1
0
|
|
| 38 | LAL | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) | 59% (40/68) | 3G OVER | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.2 | -0.1 |
3
2
2
1
3
|
|
| 39 | IND | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 43% (20/47) | 2G OVER | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | +0.5 |
3
3
1
1
3
|
|
| 40 | MIL | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 45% (33/74) | - | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.0 | +0.3 |
1
4
4
0
6
|
|
| 41 | GS | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 40% (2/5) | 47% (21/45) | - | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 | +0.9 |
1
2
1
3
0
|
|
| 42 | UTAH | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 42% (31/74) | 1G OVER | 2.2 | 3.2 | 3.8 | +0.7 |
3
2
6
2
6
|
|
| 43 | DAL | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 54% (37/69) | 1G OVER | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2.6 | +0.5 |
4
1
3
4
1
|
|
| 44 | ATL | O 3.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 37% (29/78) | - | 3.2 | 3.9 | 4.6 | +0.4 |
3
4
7
4
5
|
|
| 45 | ATL | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 43% (33/76) | 1G OVER | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.8 | +0.4 |
6
0
3
4
1
|
|
| 46 | PHI | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 56% (42/75) | - | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | +0.3 |
1
0
3
2
2
|
|
| 47 | ATL | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 40% (2/5) | 51% (37/72) | 1G OVER | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | +0.5 |
2
0
3
1
0
|
|
| 48 | OKC | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 46% (33/71) | 2G OVER | 2.5 | 3.1 | 4.0 | +0.6 |
4
6
2
6
2
|
|
| 49 | DAL | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 38% (5/13) | 3G OVER | 2.4 | 2.8 | 3.8 | +0.3 |
8
4
5
1
1
|
|
| 50 | MIL | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 48% (31/65) | - | 1.9 | 2.6 | 3.0 | +1.1 |
0
0
4
9
2
|
|
| 51 | SA | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) | 51% (33/65) | 1G OVER | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.0 |
2
1
2
2
3
|
|
| 52 | WSH | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 40% (6/15) | 1G OVER | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | +0.7 |
3
0
2
3
1
|
|
| 53 | SAC | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 56% (25/45) | - | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | +0.1 |
0
2
2
3
1
|
|
| 54 | POR | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 40% (2/5) | 49% (26/53) | - | 2.6 | 3.3 | 3.0 | +0.8 |
2
0
1
5
7
|
|
| 55 | UTAH | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 56% (40/72) | - | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.8 | +0.7 |
1
3
2
2
1
|
|
| 56 | CHI | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 53% (28/53) | - | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | +0.1 |
0
3
2
0
2
|
|
| 57 | SA | O 1.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (39/78) | 2G OVER | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | -0.1 |
2
2
0
0
2
|
|
| 58 | DEN | O 3.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 40% (2/5) | 37% (28/75) | 1G OVER | 3.3 | 4.6 | 4.6 | +1.1 |
5
3
3
10
2
|
|
| 59 | BOS | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (8/16) | - | 2.9 | 2.9 | 3.0 | +0.4 |
2
3
2
4
4
|
|
| 60 | HOU | O 2.5 3PM | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 39% (30/77) | - | 2.3 | 3.0 | 3.4 | +0.5 |
2
1
5
5
4
|
