NBA Player Prop Hit-Rate & Usage Surge Board (2025-26 Regular Season)
Rebounds Over (REB) · L5 & L10 Over Hit Frequency vs Baseline Half-Point Line · Next-Man-Up Rotation Surge Radar
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ACTIVE MARKET
Rebounds Over (REB)
Half-point floor baseline
80%+ L10 HIT RATE
129 Props
8/10 or better over rate
ACTIVE 4+ GAME STREAKS
41 Streaks
Consecutive games over line
ROTATION & USAGE SURGES
83 Players
390 qualified rotation players
STARTER PROMOTION
MEM
Rayan Rupert
Memphis Grizzlies · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
35.2 +18.5
Szn 16.8 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
30.4 +21.2
Szn 9.2 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O9.5 L5 Surge
L5 17.6 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
NO
Jeremiah Fears
New Orleans Pelicans · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
39.4 +13.7
Szn 25.7 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
43.6 +22.3
Szn 21.3 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PTS O14.5 70% (7/10)
L5 31.8 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
CHI
Leonard Miller
Chicago Bulls · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
34.2 +18.5
Szn 15.7 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
28.6 +15.9
Szn 12.7 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O12.5 L5 Surge
L5 17.6 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
NO
Micah Peavy
New Orleans Pelicans · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
34.8 +19.8
Szn 15.0 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
16.4 +9.2
Szn 7.2 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O7.5 L5 Surge
L5 10.8 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
MIL
Ousmane Dieng
Milwaukee Bucks · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
33.6 +14.2
Szn 19.4 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
26.8 +13.7
Szn 13.1 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O13.5 L5 Surge
L5 13.4 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
SAC
Nique Clifford
Sacramento Kings · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
38.0 +12.9
Szn 25.1 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
30.0 +15.3
Szn 14.7 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O14.5 L5 Surge
L5 19.4 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
BKN
Tyson Etienne
Brooklyn Nets · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
31.4 +15.6
Szn 15.8 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
21.4 +10.7
Szn 10.7 PRA
TOP PROP L10
3PM O1.5 60% (6/10)
L5 15.0 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
MIL
Jericho Sims
Milwaukee Bucks · C
L5 MIN (Δ)
32.6 +12.6
Szn 20.0 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
25.2 +13.0
Szn 12.2 PRA
TOP PROP L10
REB O5.5 70% (7/10)
L5 12.2 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
UTAH
Cody Williams
Utah Jazz · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
36.2 +11.9
Szn 24.3 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
26.4 +12.6
Szn 13.8 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O13.5 L5 Surge
L5 16.4 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
CHI
Rob Dillingham
Chicago Bulls · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
26.2 +11.3
Szn 14.9 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
23.4 +12.9
Szn 10.5 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O10.5 L5 Surge
L5 15.8 PPG
STARTER PROMOTION
SAC
Devin Carter
Sacramento Kings · G
L5 MIN (Δ)
31.6 +13.2
Szn 18.4 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
25.4 +10.5
Szn 14.9 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O14.5 L5 Surge
L5 14.6 PPG
USAGE EXPANSION
BKN
Jalen Wilson
Brooklyn Nets · F
L5 MIN (Δ)
28.4 +12.5
Szn 15.9 MPG
L5 PRA (Δ)
20.6 +11.2
Szn 9.4 PRA
TOP PROP L10
PRA O9.5 L5 Surge
L5 11.8 PPG
| # | Player | Team | Prop Line | GPU Sim Proj | Live EV% | L10 Hit% | L5 Hit% | Szn Hit% | Streak | Szn Avg | L10 Avg | L5 Avg | L10 vs Line | Last 5 Games (Most Recent First) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 100% (5/5) | 56% (43/77) | 7G OVER | 5.8 | 7.2 | 7.8 | +1.7 |
8
6
9
6
10
|
|
| 2 | DAL | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 46% (17/37) | 7G OVER | 5.8 | 9.2 | 11.4 | +3.7 |
20
8
9
13
7
|
|
| 3 | UTAH | O 6.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 90% (9/10) | 80% (4/5) | 48% (13/27) | 3G OVER | 6.6 | 9.8 | 12.0 | +3.3 |
17
22
7
4
10
|
|
| 4 | CHI | O 4.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) | 50% (7/14) | 5G OVER | 4.7 | 6.2 | 8.6 | +1.7 |
15
9
7
7
5
|
|
| 5 | MIL | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 50% (33/66) | 4G OVER | 5.6 | 8.8 | 8.0 | +3.3 |
7
10
11
8
4
|
|
| 6 | PHI | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 100% (5/5) | 55% (41/75) | 5G OVER | 5.6 | 5.3 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
7
9
6
8
6
|
|
| 7 | WSH | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 100% (5/5) | 51% (35/68) | 5G OVER | 5.6 | 5.7 | 7.8 | +0.2 |
6
8
8
10
7
|
|
| 8 | SA | O 11.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 49% (32/65) | 1G OVER | 11.4 | 13.5 | 14.0 | +2.0 |
13
5
18
18
16
|
|
| 9 | IND | O 4.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 45% (21/47) | 3G OVER | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | +2.5 |
11
10
14
3
12
|
|
| 10 | NO | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 48% (10/21) | 2G OVER | 5.6 | 7.4 | 7.6 | +1.9 |
6
12
4
9
7
|
|
| 11 | ATL | O 6.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 53% (40/76) | 3G OVER | 6.8 | 8.2 | 9.2 | +1.7 |
10
7
12
4
13
|
|
| 12 | SAC | O 7.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 50% (37/74) | 2G OVER | 7.5 | 8.9 | 9.8 | +1.4 |
9
9
7
15
9
|
|
| 13 | CHI | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 80% (4/5) | 38% (18/47) | - | 5.2 | 7.7 | 6.6 | +2.2 |
5
8
8
6
6
|
|
| 14 | DAL | O 6.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 60% (3/5) | 51% (28/55) | 1G OVER | 6.9 | 8.5 | 5.8 | +2.0 |
7
3
4
8
7
|
|
| 15 | GS | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 44% (14/32) | 4G OVER | 5.2 | 6.1 | 6.6 | +0.6 |
8
7
8
7
3
|
|
| 16 | POR | O 4.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 53% (28/53) | 1G OVER | 4.6 | 5.4 | 6.2 | +0.9 |
7
3
10
6
5
|
|
| 17 | DEN | O 12.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 80% (8/10) | 60% (3/5) | 54% (35/65) | - | 12.9 | 14.5 | 12.6 | +2.0 |
8
16
14
8
17
|
|
| 18 | BOS | O 10.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 80% (4/5) | 56% (9/16) | 1G OVER | 10.0 | 10.9 | 12.0 | +0.4 |
13
5
13
11
18
|
|
| 19 | CHA | O 4.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 53% (38/72) | 3G OVER | 4.8 | 4.7 | 5.2 | +0.2 |
7
5
5
3
6
|
|
| 20 | SA | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 80% (4/5) | 54% (45/83) | 4G OVER | 5.3 | 4.9 | 6.2 | -0.6 |
6
6
8
9
2
|
|
| 21 | NO | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 58% (38/66) | 3G OVER | 5.8 | 6.9 | 6.8 | +1.4 |
13
7
7
5
2
|
|
| 22 | CLE | O 4.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 46% (32/70) | 3G OVER | 4.5 | 5.1 | 4.8 | +0.6 |
7
6
6
3
2
|
|
| 23 | HOU | O 7.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 53% (42/79) | 1G OVER | 7.8 | 7.3 | 7.2 | -0.2 |
9
5
11
3
8
|
|
| 24 | SA | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 46% (32/69) | 2G OVER | 5.3 | 6.6 | 7.4 | +1.1 |
11
10
5
4
7
|
|
| 25 | TOR | O 4.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (40/80) | - | 4.9 | 5.7 | 5.2 | +1.2 |
3
8
4
5
6
|
|
| 26 | NO | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 52% (34/66) | - | 5.7 | 6.1 | 5.8 | +0.6 |
4
8
6
6
5
|
|
| 27 | MIN | O 11.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 40% (2/5) | 58% (44/76) | 1G OVER | 11.5 | 12.2 | 11.0 | +0.7 |
12
10
16
7
10
|
|
| 28 | UTAH | O 7.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 43% (33/77) | - | 7.2 | 8.8 | 9.8 | +1.3 |
6
14
7
12
10
|
|
| 29 | HOU | O 6.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 45% (27/60) | 1G OVER | 6.3 | 6.0 | 5.6 | -0.5 |
8
1
8
7
4
|
|
| 30 | OKC | O 8.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 59% (41/69) | 2G OVER | 8.9 | 7.9 | 8.8 | -0.6 |
14
10
7
4
9
|
|
| 31 | HOU | O 8.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (16/32) | 2G OVER | 8.6 | 8.7 | 8.6 | +0.2 |
10
11
7
6
9
|
|
| 32 | BOS | O 8.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 42% (32/76) | 2G OVER | 8.4 | 8.7 | 8.4 | +0.2 |
10
10
5
7
10
|
|
| 33 | NO | O 7.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 41% (33/81) | 3G OVER | 7.1 | 8.8 | 11.0 | +1.3 |
22
11
12
4
6
|
|
| 34 | SAC | O 6.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 40% (2/5) | 47% (34/73) | 1G OVER | 6.7 | 9.2 | 7.0 | +2.7 |
11
6
6
5
7
|
|
| 35 | UTAH | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 49% (18/37) | - | 5.8 | 5.9 | 5.2 | +0.4 |
4
6
8
6
2
|
|
| 36 | BKN | O 4.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 51% (29/57) | - | 4.9 | 6.0 | 5.8 | +1.5 |
4
6
4
5
10
|
|
| 37 | TOR | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 58% (45/77) | 1G OVER | 5.6 | 5.3 | 5.8 | -0.2 |
9
4
7
6
3
|
|
| 38 | CHA | O 8.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 55% (40/73) | 1G OVER | 8.7 | 8.4 | 7.8 | -0.1 |
9
6
5
9
10
|
|
| 39 | LAC | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 46% (32/69) | 1G OVER | 5.3 | 5.7 | 6.2 | +0.2 |
9
2
9
7
4
|
|
| 40 | LAC | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 70% (7/10) | 60% (3/5) | 47% (26/55) | - | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.2 | -0.1 |
4
6
4
6
6
|
|
| 41 | PHX | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 40% (2/5) | 37% (30/82) | 2G OVER | 5.1 | 6.4 | 5.2 | +0.9 |
6
10
1
5
4
|
|
| 42 | ORL | O 8.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 49% (35/72) | 2G OVER | 8.4 | 8.6 | 9.6 | +0.1 |
10
9
8
5
16
|
|
| 43 | UTAH | O 10.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 44% (18/41) | - | 10.4 | 12.2 | 11.4 | +1.7 |
9
16
14
13
5
|
|
| 44 | HOU | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 45% (35/78) | 2G OVER | 5.5 | 5.5 | 6.2 | +0.0 |
7
7
4
8
5
|
|
| 45 | LAC | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (27/54) | 1G OVER | 5.4 | 4.7 | 4.6 | -0.8 |
9
0
2
6
6
|
|
| 46 | ORL | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 40% (4/10) | 80% (4/5) | 36% (23/64) | 3G OVER | 5.0 | 6.2 | 9.0 | +0.7 |
7
11
15
4
8
|
|
| 47 | SAC | O 7.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) | 55% (24/44) | 1G OVER | 7.5 | 7.2 | 8.0 | -0.3 |
8
7
9
8
8
|
|
| 48 | CHA | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) | 53% (41/77) | - | 5.8 | 5.7 | 7.0 | +0.2 |
1
8
12
8
6
|
|
| 49 | CLE | O 8.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 54% (30/56) | - | 8.5 | 8.3 | 8.8 | -0.2 |
8
9
13
4
10
|
|
| 50 | NO | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 52% (32/62) | 2G OVER | 5.7 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -0.5 |
7
6
1
4
7
|
|
| 51 | MIL | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 47% (18/38) | - | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.4 | -0.3 |
3
7
7
4
6
|
|
| 52 | PHX | O 7.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 60% (3/5) | 52% (31/60) | - | 8.0 | 7.3 | 6.8 | -0.2 |
5
8
8
4
9
|
|
| 53 | GS | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) | 50% (19/38) | - | 5.6 | 5.4 | 6.0 | -0.1 |
3
8
6
7
6
|
|
| 54 | PHX | O 4.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 40% (2/5) | 49% (34/70) | - | 4.9 | 5.5 | 4.0 | +1.0 |
3
4
7
1
5
|
|
| 55 | ATL | O 10.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 80% (4/5) | 47% (34/72) | - | 10.3 | 9.2 | 11.2 | -1.3 |
9
11
11
11
14
|
|
| 56 | LAC | O 6.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 40% (2/5) | 48% (31/65) | 2G OVER | 6.4 | 6.7 | 6.4 | +0.2 |
8
8
4
6
6
|
|
| 57 | NY | O 11.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 40% (2/5) | 54% (41/76) | - | 11.8 | 11.9 | 10.6 | +0.4 |
10
12
12
11
8
|
|
| 58 | DAL | O 11.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 60% (6/10) | 40% (2/5) | 50% (10/20) | - | 11.1 | 11.9 | 10.0 | +0.4 |
11
16
12
8
3
|
|
| 59 | DAL | O 6.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 51% (36/70) | - | 6.7 | 6.9 | 7.6 | +0.4 |
4
6
11
9
8
|
|
| 60 | CHI | O 5.5 REB | 🔒 $1.99 | EV% | 50% (5/10) | 60% (3/5) | 50% (5/10) | 1G OVER | 5.6 | 5.6 | 6.4 | +0.1 |
10
5
7
7
3
|
